| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 4,824 | 37¢ → 53¢ | $2,533 | +$744 +42% |
| Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 2,581 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $2,517 | +$211 +9.2% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,000 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $2,505 | +$375 +18% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 2,768 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $2,311 | +$178 +8.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 3,000 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $2,145 | +$165 +8.3% |
| Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 2,393 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $2,034 | +$174 +9.4% |
| Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,957 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $1,906 | +$174 +10% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,900 | 51¢ → >99¢ | $1,897 | +$931 +96% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $1,790 | +$245 +16% |
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,729 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $1,674 | +$196 +13% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,905 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $1,628 | +$320 +24% |
| John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,760 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $1,566 | +$145 +10% |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,698 | 65¢ → 88¢ | $1,485 | +$376 +34% |
| Tompkins County District Attorney out by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,400 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $1,377 | +$310 +29% |
| OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,471 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $1,302 | +$245 +23% |
| Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,705 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $1,293 | +$139 +12% |
| Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 1,588 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $1,126 | −$30 −2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,700 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $1,114 | +$60 +5.6% |
| Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,051 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $1,022 | +$108 +12% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,500 | 68¢ → 63¢ | $945 | −$80 −7.8% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,323 | 50¢ → 69¢ | $908 | +$246 +37% |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Ends in 190d | No | 1,064 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $892 | +$143 +19% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,172 | 31¢ → 76¢ | $885 | +$524 +145% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,000 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $850 | −$30 −3.4% |
| Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $830 | +$40 +5.1% |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 820 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $783 | +$131 +20% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 1,221 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $771 | +$80 +12% |
| Will Milan Majerský win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 861 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $770 | +$99 +15% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 1,000 | 47¢ → 75¢ | $745 | +$275 +59% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 904 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $732 | +$71 +11% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $680 | −$30 −4.2% |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 799 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $665 | +$48 +7.7% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 673 | 62¢ → 88¢ | $594 | +$175 +42% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Ends in 226d | No | 652 | 54¢ → 85¢ | $551 | +$201 +57% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $534 | +$194 +57% |
| U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,234 | 68¢ → 40¢ | $492 | −$349 −41% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 498 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $461 | +$59 +15% |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 467 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $453 | +$66 +17% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 634 | 50¢ → 71¢ | $450 | +$130 +41% |
| UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 400 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $340 | +$60 +21% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d | No | 759 | 39¢ → 45¢ | $338 | +$42 +14% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,132 | 38¢ → 16¢ | $330 | −$478 −59% |
| Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Ends in 701d | No | 401 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $315 | +$14 +4.7% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 890 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $311 | −$22 −6.6% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 281 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $280 | +$59 +27% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $264 | +$96 +57% |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 721 | 51¢ → 33¢ | $234 | −$132 −36% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 238 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $234 | +$52 +29% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,128 | 35¢ → 20¢ | $231 | −$163 −41% |
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 233 | 57¢ → 98¢ | $227 | +$95 +71% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 945 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $199 | +$9 +5.0% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Ends in 69d | No | 198 | 70¢ → 97¢ | $192 | +$52 +38% |
| Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 231 | 28¢ → 72¢ | $166 | +$103 +161% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 129 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $128 | +$16 +15% |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Ends in 226d | No | 121 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $115 | +$18 +19% |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 143 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $102 | +$22 +27% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,000 | 19¢ → 3¢ | $84 | −$484 −85% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 800 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $68 | −$108 −61% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Ends in 434d | No | 65 | 30¢ → 55¢ | $36 | +$16 +83% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,060 | 65¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$652 −95% |
| Chud the Builder convicted?Ends in 281d | Yes | 67 | 38¢ → 43¢ | $28 | +$3 +12% |
| Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 60¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$6 +52% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 32 | 32¢ → 55¢ | $18 | +$7 +70% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 2h | Yes | 200 | 22¢ → 8¢ | $16 | −$28 −63% |
| California Expedited Environmental Review PropositionEnds in 11d | No | 20 | 25¢ → 39¢ | $8 | +$3 +56% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 57¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$2 +71% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 320 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 769 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 802 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$340 −100% |
| Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$396 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 342 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$231 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,500 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$371 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$390 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,700 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will "Green" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,200 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$524 −100% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47,164 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$582 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,664 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$262 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 211 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,200 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 221 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,950 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$722 −100% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 651 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$320 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |