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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kast 15-20% | 100% | +60 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kast <5% | 0% | −4 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kast 5-10% | 0% | −7 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kast 10-15% | 0% | −14 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kast 25%+ | 0% | −8 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jara <5% | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jara 5%+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Kast 20-25% | 0% | −32 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313d | Lvcanalha | Kast 10-15% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,870 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 313d | Motherly-Blowhole | Kast 10-15% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,374 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 313d | marSong | Kast 10-15% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,880 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | marSong | Kast 15-20% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,709 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | Alder | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,249 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 313d | JoseB144 | Kast 15-20% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,619 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | Jagged-Taro | Kast 15-20% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,677 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 313d |  mrworldwide | Kast 15-20% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,387 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 313d | lineth | Kast 10-15% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,367 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | Didakos | Kast 25%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,191 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 313d | FlyingPlaty | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,763 | +$38 +0.3% | 10 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,206 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,205 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 313d | deth | Kast 20-25% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,592 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 313d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,255 | +$16 +0.5% | 10 |
| 313d |  TeemuPukki | Kast 15-20% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 313d | Manu1233 | Kast 25%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,224 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | Crock95 | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$21 +1.0% | 10 |
| 313d | TeemuPukki | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 |
| 313d | cigarettes | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,455 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 313d | cigarettes | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,475 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 313d | influenz.eth | Kast 25%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 313d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,258 | +$134 +1.0% | 10 |
| 313d | influenz.eth | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 313d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,409 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 314d |  CoffeeLover | Kast 15-20% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 314d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,390 | +$7 +0.3% | 10 |
| 314d |  knrad | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,753 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 314d | diadjaid | Kast 15-20% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | −$92 −4.2% | — |
| 314d | diadjaid | Kast 5-10% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,066 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 314d |  Leonid-Sport | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | +$260 +11% | 10 |
| 314d | TeemuPukki | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,148 | +$34 +1.1% | 10 |
| 314d | Lvcanalha | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,845 | +$65 +1.1% | 10 |
| 314d | Motherly-Blowhole | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,296 | +$85 +2.6% | 10 |
| 314d | CoffeeLover | Kast <5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 314d |  148572738484 | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$182 +18% | 10 |
| 314d | Jagged-Taro | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$271 +25% | 10 |
| 314d | Manu1233 | Kast 25%+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$40 +3.4% | 10 |
| 314d | SnowLover7 | Kast 5-10% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,725 | +$522 +7.8% | 10 |
| 314d | warlasfutpro | Kast 25%+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$38 +3.4% | 10 |
| 314d | knrad | Kast <5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$8 +0.5% | 10 |
| 314d | SnowLover7 | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$2,908 +163% | 11 |
| 314d | SnowLover7 | Kast 20-25% | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,762 | −$1,762 −100% | 11 |
| 314d |  Nobo3 fills | Jara 5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,124 | +$18 +0.2% | 10 |
| 314d | deth4 fills | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $6,284 | +$2,084 +33% | 10 |
| 314d | 1485727384843 fills | Kast 25%+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,582 | +$561 +8.5% | 10 |
| 314d |  JonaMar666 | Jara 5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,675 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 314d |  Jiber | Jara 5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 315d | Melody626 | Kast 15-20% | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $2,850 | −$2,850 −100% | 10 |
| 315d | Melody626 | Kast 10-15% | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $7,597 | +$2,269 +30% | 10 |
| 315d |  yorkidogg2 fills | Kast 5-10% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,354 | +$202 +4.6% | 10 |
| 317d |  OkieDokiePeon | Jara 5%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 324d | diadjaid | Kast 15-20% | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$4,425 +195% | 13 |
| 327d | luobosi | Kast 20-25% | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,370 | −$1,380 −32% | — |
| 327d | xiaobaicai | Kast 20-25% | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,104 | −$1,296 −32% | — |
| 327d | qiezi | Kast 20-25% | SellYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,514 | +$1,514 +100% | — |
| 327d | lizhi0 | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,793 | +$1,514 +32% | 10 |
| 327d | luobosi | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,370 | +$1,380 +32% | 10 |
| 327d | xiaobaicai | Kast 20-25% | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,104 | +$1,296 +32% | 10 |
| 330d | lineth | Kast 15-20% | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,272 | −$1,272 −100% | 10 |
ZaiZoiBele506 sharesSecond-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on December 14, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in this round of the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kast 15-20% means the market gives it about 100%.