Lvcanalha

Polymarket wallet 0x62288e35eca23464e02dff758b2160a33b0096f3 · on Polymarket since Nov 20, 2024 · also shown as Grumpy-Stepsister

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $13.9
All-time profit: −$3.02K
Volume traded: $100K
All-time rank: #3,159,354
Markets traded: 44
Recent hit rate: 49%20 of last 41 closed

Open positions

5 markets · $13.9

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	71	15¢ → 20¢	$14	+$3 +30%
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	217	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,133	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	145	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
19d	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes15¢	$11
122d	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes4¢	$10
304d	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	SellYes66¢	$95
310d	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?	SellYes4¢	$71
310d	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?	BuyYes82¢	$1,639
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?	SellNo97¢	$993
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?	SellNo98¢	$174
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?	SellNo98¢	$268
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?	SellNo98¢	$20
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?	BuyNo99¢	$1,485
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise less than $2.0 million by December 16?	SellNo98¢	$4,986
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise less than $2.0 million by December 16?	SellNo98¢	$834
312d	Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise less than $2.0 million by December 16?	BuyNo98¢	$5,818
312d	Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	BuyYes1¢	$10
312d	Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	BuyYes1¢	$4
312d	Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	SellNo>99¢	$3,870
313d	Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	SellYes8¢	$12
313d	Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	BuyNo99¢	$2,341
313d	Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	BuyNo99¢	$5,845
313d	Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	BuyNo98¢	$187
313d	Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	BuyNo98¢	$916
313d	Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	BuyNo98¢	$285
313d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	SellYes>99¢	$9,250
313d	Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?	BuyYes27¢	$1
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	SellYes49¢	$289
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	SellYes49¢	$6
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	SellYes49¢	$12
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	SellYes49¢	$12
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	SellYes49¢	$4
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	SellYes49¢	$8
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	BuyYes60¢	$57
313d	Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?	SellYes14¢	$57
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	BuyYes58¢	$2
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	BuyYes58¢	$12
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	BuyYes58¢	$58
313d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	BuyYes58¢	$91
313d	Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?	SellYes31¢	$25
313d	Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?	SellYes37¢	$138
315d	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes69¢	$100
315d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BuyYes99¢	$941
315d	Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?	BuyYes1¢	$2
316d	Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	SellYes21¢	$63
316d	Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	SellYes22¢	$14
316d	Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	SellYes22¢	$52
316d	Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	BuyYes22¢	$114
316d	Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	BuyYes22¢	$51
316d	Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	BuyYes38¢	$61
316d	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)	BuySpirit74¢	$165
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	BuyUp14¢	$1
317d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	BuyDown79¢	$8
317d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BuyYes98¢	$1,726
317d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BuyYes98¢	$893
317d	Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	BuyYes2¢	$15
317d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	SellYes>99¢	$529
322d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BuyYes96¢	$1,360
322d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BuyYes96¢	$1,923
322d	Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyYes93¢	$492
322d	Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	SellYes96¢	$385
322d	'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?	Sell25 bps cut13¢	$107
322d	'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?	Buy25 bps cut17¢	$139

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 41 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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