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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352d |  CallMeSanji | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,131 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 352d |  classified | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d | Jonahpeterson | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,037 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 352d | TexMexTRex5 fills | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $87,631 | −$1,370 −1.6% | — |
| 352d | internetcapitalmarket | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,674 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d |  burratatata | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$25 +0.3% | 4 |
| 352d |  zwxokx | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,006 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 352d | Wsix | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 353d | hollyber | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | −$36 −1.8% | — |
| 353d |  ComingBack | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,199 | −$131 −2.1% | — |
| 353d | check12345 | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 353d |  Forest6666 | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,493 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 353d | pikaqiuzwx | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 353d | sdhyky | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
| 353d | MalarkeyMaster | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$28 −2.8% | — |
| 354d | austintheory | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | −$36 −1.9% | — |
| 354d | romanticpaul2 fills | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,083 | +$247 +8.0% | 4 |
| 354d |  Obtio | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$21 −1.6% | — |
| 354d |  LadyFleur | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$43 +2.6% | 4 |
| 355d | Zz2025zZ | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | −$80 −4.0% | — |
| 356d | 546F746573204D63476F746573 | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$60 +2.3% | 4 |
| 356d | Lolololol | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,917 | +$183 +3.1% | 5 |
| 357d | TexMexTRex7 fills | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $73,323 | +$15,677 +21% | 4 |
| 357d |  ScottyNooo | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$127 +8.7% | 5 |
| 358d | ComingBack | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$179 +16% | 5 |
| 359d | predictionGOAT69 | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 8 |
| 359d | 0xfe51…c0d3 | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | −$190 −14% | — |
| 363d | Shewko | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | −$322 −20% | — |
| 363d | Alirgiderim | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 4 |
| 364d | imjustafarmer | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$211 −20% | — |
| 365d | letsfingo | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,446 | +$1,446 +100% | — |
| 367d |  fffffz | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,781 | +$3,787 +100% | 4 |
| 368d | fffffz2 fills | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $4,652 | −$4,652 −100% | 9 |
| 368d | Melody6262 fills | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $8,337 | +$3,091 +37% | 4 |
| 370d |  ondra123 | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | −$1,390 −100% | 6 |
| 372d |  ElonSpam | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$650 +64% | 4 |
| 373d |  HyphenFrox | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | +$1,574 +80% | 4 |
| 383d |  GoldmanSachs | Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
OuchMyBalls10,000 shares
AllByMyseIf2,475 sharesThe longest U.S. government shutdown in history lasted 35 days, from December 22, 2018, until January 25, 2019. The current shutdown began at 12:01 AM ET on October 1, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a government funding bill is not signed into law by the President by November 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the bill must actually be signed by the President. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.