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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 2% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| November 30 | 3% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 38d |
| December 31 | 40% | −7 pts | −5 pts | 36¢ · 43¢ (7¢) | $30.5 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d |  Hot-Skull | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
chessplayer471 shares
youtube-trader100 shares
bissy.230 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 2%.