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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422d | 0xAA88grhfr | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,072 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,173 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,400 | +$44 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  0xLinus | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  Alphax | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,307 | +$26 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | upp | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  Anjun | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,554 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | Ordon4 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,225 | +$56 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | takeme2themoon5 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $123,369 | +$123 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  Bertapotamous | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 422d |  aenews2 | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  duderr7 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $22,959 | −$41 −0.2% | — |
| 422d | rwo8 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $53,124 | −$101 −0.2% | — |
| 422d |  MisTKy34 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $41,063 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  Car2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  tsybka | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $127,378 | −$128 −0.1% | — |
| 422d | Ordon2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,359 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  debased2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,509 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | FedFan | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,992 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  bosshog2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | ameliars | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  ScottyNooo | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $449,550 | +$450 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | 🐥🥚🐣 | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | debased5 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $67,333 | −$75 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  Meerror5 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $6,004 | −$6,004 −100% | 36 |
| 422d | tsybka2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,722 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d |  HolyMoses73 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,430 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 422d | LlamaEnjoyer6 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $51,664 | −$84 −0.2% | — |
| 423d | rwo2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  RelaySucks | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $55,330 | +$55 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  scout3 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004,555 | +$1,006 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  cluster111 | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,978 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  NeoSay10 | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  DDDASHEE | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 423d | LBZero | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,349 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  FelixGoblin | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,187 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | Lindorbaby | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | LinusB | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | Majestic-SubmitterNew account | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  Debosnys2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,275 | +$31 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  Jellow2 | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,898 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | iamgone | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,578 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 423d | DDDASHEE2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,735 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  Slowroasted | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,151 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | pantomime | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 423d |  ScarletRot | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,231 | +$34 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | gotigers | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | slight- | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $93,545 | +$94 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | pantomime | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,981 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d |  pusseh2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,103 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 423d | nhpx38txna0500 | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $38,961 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 423d | quanterty | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 424d | BowlOfPunch | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,432 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 424d | Dapper-Grandfather | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,007 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 424d |  cookiejar2 fills | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $466,878 | +$467 +0.1% | 20 |
| 424d | sleepin | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,163 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 424d | Vorsh | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,269 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 424d |  EverythingAlwaysHappens | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,578 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 425d | Gorbachev | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 425d | Katniss Everdeen | Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,292 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between July 24, 3:00 PM ET and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of July 24, 2025. This includes the Israeli controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
