| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8,172 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $7,988 | +$1,060 +15% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 825 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $752 | −$34 −4.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 680 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $644 | −$7 −1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 566 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $540 | +$35 +7.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 600 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $524 | −$28 −5.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 606 | 92¢ → 85¢ | $513 | −$44 −7.8% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $400 | +$21 +5.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 229 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $214 | −$6 −2.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 225 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $203 | +$20 +11% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 201 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $201 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$20 +11% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 201 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $200 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 197 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $197 | +$9 +4.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 199 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $190 | +$29 +18% |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 193 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $186 | +$3 +1.6% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 191 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $183 | +$12 +7.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 182 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $176 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 175 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $173 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 159 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $154 | +$8 +5.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 200 | 55¢ → 76¢ | $151 | +$41 +37% |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 144 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $142 | +$4 +2.9% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 131 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $121 | −$2 −1.3% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 121 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $121 | +$13 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 163 | 79¢ → 74¢ | $120 | −$9 −6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 358 | 68¢ → 33¢ | $116 | −$129 −52% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 333 | 46¢ → 35¢ | $115 | −$38 −25% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 126 | 61¢ → 91¢ | $115 | +$38 +49% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 117 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $115 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 126 | 97¢ → 84¢ | $106 | −$16 −13% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 121 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $105 | +$6 +5.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 107 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $105 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 103 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $103 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 101 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $101 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 101 | 78¢ → >99¢ | $101 | +$22 +28% |
| Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 101 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $100 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$11 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 101 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $99 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 101 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $99 | +$3 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 107 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $99 | +$16 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 171 | 77¢ → 57¢ | $98 | −$34 −26% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 101 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$13 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 98 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $95 | +$4 +4.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 96 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $94 | +$5 +5.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 95 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $93 | +$5 +6.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$32 +53% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 91 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $89 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 90 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $89 | +$0 +0.5% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 90 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $89 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 89 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $88 | +$4 +5.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $87 | −$7 −7.4% |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $87 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 90 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $86 | +$4 +4.9% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 86 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $84 | +$4 +4.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 86 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $83 | +$5 +6.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 253 | 65¢ → 33¢ | $82 | −$81 −50% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 238 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $82 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 385 | 30¢ → 21¢ | $79 | −$36 −32% |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 79 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $77 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $76 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 403 | 72¢ → 18¢ | $73 | −$216 −75% |
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 72 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $71 | +$4 +6.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 39¢ → 69¢ | $69 | +$29 +74% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$65 −49% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 26¢ → 64¢ | $64 | +$38 +144% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 65 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $63 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 59 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $59 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $58 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 58 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $58 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 146 | 47¢ → 39¢ | $57 | −$11 −16% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 58 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $57 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 55 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $55 | +$6 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 56 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $54 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 294 | 83¢ → 18¢ | $53 | −$193 −78% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 310 | 34¢ → 17¢ | $52 | −$54 −51% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 44 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $43 | +$3 +7.0% |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 43 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $41 | +$12 +41% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$6 +20% |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 61¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$13 +55% |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$3 +8.1% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$3 +9.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 130 | 8¢ → 28¢ | $37 | +$27 +264% |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $35 | +$3 +9.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 101 | 42¢ → 35¢ | $35 | −$8 −18% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $35 | +$4 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 101 | 62¢ → 33¢ | $33 | −$30 −48% |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 50¢ → 33¢ | $33 | −$18 −35% |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $32 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 60¢ → 31¢ | $31 | −$29 −49% |
| Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 100 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$21 −43% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 28 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $27 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 29 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $26 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $26 | +$1 +5.6% |
