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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100+ minutes | 100% | +58 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 minutes | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-70 minutes | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-80 minutes | 0% | −8 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-90 minutes | 0% | −21 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-100 minutes | 0% | −23 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | singularityman | 90-100 minutes | SellNo>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  charliegooseman | 100+ minutes | SellYes>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | Taldenifull | 100+ minutes | SellYes>99¢ | $8,405 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  Mantronix | 100+ minutes | SellYes>99¢ | $4,846 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | ForFamily | 100+ minutes | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,853 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 241d | SaylorMoon | 100+ minutes | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,447 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 241d | Area.51 | 100+ minutes | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 241d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | 100+ minutes | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,595 | +$78 +1.0% | 4 |
| 241d |  Asymmetric | 100+ minutes | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | −$29 −1.5% | — |
| 241d | pkz2 fills | 100+ minutes | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $2,624 | +$4,206 +160% | 8 |
| 241d |  nasa22 | 100+ minutes | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | +$25 +1.4% | 4 |
| 241d | pkz | 100+ minutes | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 241d |  Chims | 100+ minutes | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,383 | +$166 +3.1% | 4 |
| 241d | BABELCONSTEL | 100+ minutes | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$134 +5.2% | 4 |
| 241d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 80-90 minutes | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,566 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 241d | Asymmetric | 100+ minutes | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,373 | +$414 +12% | 4 |
| 241d |  AishahSofey2 fills | 100+ minutes | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | −$671 −25% | — |
| 241d |  ImJustKen | 100+ minutes | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$281 +25% | 4 |
| 241d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | 100+ minutes | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | +$511 +28% | 4 |
| 241d |  fdg | 100+ minutes | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$406 +35% | 4 |
| 241d |  pup1 | 100+ minutes | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$600 +43% | 4 |
| 241d |  Kettle | 100+ minutes | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$480 +43% | 4 |
| 241d | influenz.eth2 fills | 60-70 minutes | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | +$15 +0.7% | 4 |
| 241d | influenz.eth2 fills | <60 minutes | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 241d | influenz.eth | 70-80 minutes | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$27 +2.6% | 4 |
| 241d | BTCGOOSE | 80-90 minutes | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$152 +7.6% | 4 |
| 241d |  chungguskhan | 100+ minutes | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $4,015 | −$4,015 −100% | 11 |
| 241d |  Anjun | 100+ minutes | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,748 | −$1,748 −100% | 7 |
| 241d | chungguskhan | 100+ minutes | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $9,871 | +$2,510 +25% | 4 |
| 241d | Djibooty3 fills | 100+ minutes | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $3,364 | −$3,364 −100% | 9 |
| 241d |  dfghfdghdfgh | 100+ minutes | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$600 +30% | 4 |
| 241d | Mantronix | 100+ minutes | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,487 | +$1,364 +39% | 4 |
| 241d | Single-Challenge | 100+ minutes | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$424 +41% | 4 |
| 241d | AishahSofey2 fills | 100+ minutes | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,883 | +$3,447 +89% | 12 |
| 241d |  Bertapotamous | 80-90 minutes | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$59 +5.4% | 4 |
| 241d | Bertapotamous | 100+ minutes | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$768 +45% | 4 |
| 241d | wan123 | 100+ minutes | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$675 +59% | 4 |
| 241d | Worn-HydrocarbNew account | 100+ minutes | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$1,160 +80% | 13 |
| 241d | blunderbot | <60 minutes | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,187 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 241d |  Obamnna3 fills | 100+ minutes | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $6,025 | −$6,025 −100% | 14 |
| 242d |  PantheraUncia2 fills | 100+ minutes | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $8,972 | +$12,237 +136% | 15 |
| 242d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan2 fills | 60-70 minutes | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 4 |
| 242d | TaxIsTheft | 100+ minutes | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,169 | −$1,169 −100% | 4 |
| 242d | Taldenifull | 100+ minutes | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | +$2,581 +130% | 5 |
| 242d |  Nik- | 100+ minutes | SellNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | +$1,044 +100% | — |
| 242d | Rebecca-95 | 100+ minutes | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$1,811 +152% | 12 |
| 245d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | <60 minutes | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$46 +3.4% | 5 |
Anjun9,744 shares
TwoEyes2,000 shares
bettington1,333 shares
ChetterHummin1,000 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 100+ minutes means the market gives it about 100%.