Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No vote by October 31 | 100% | +2 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <55 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 57 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 59 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 61+ | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d | <55 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,922 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 357d | No vote by October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,235 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 358d | 61+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,517 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 358d | rated | <55 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 358d | rated | 60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 358d | <55 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,548 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 358d | 60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,548 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 358d | omaar123 | 55 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,754 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 358d | omaar123 | 59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,689 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 358d | omaar123 | 58 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,754 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 358d | omaar123 | 57 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,604 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 358d | omaar123 | 56 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,754 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 359d | No vote by October 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,558 | +$281 +7.9% | 10 | |
| 359d | mybigmoney | <55 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 363d | torrest | No vote by October 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$318 +18% | 11 |
| 372d | No vote by October 31 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,052 | −$1,948 −95% | — |
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. senators who vote "Yea" in favor of the next government funding bill during its first vote in the senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No vote" if no vote occurs on a new funding bill by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The first roll-call vote held on the next government funding bill will be used for resolution purposes, regardless of whether that bill is later enacted into law. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No vote by October 31 means the market gives it about 100%.