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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d |  CosmicCedar | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,363 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 214d |  elmcap2 | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,029 | +$50 +1.2% | 20 |
| 226d | danielleggerman | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,102 | +$120 +2.4% | 20 |
| 247d | cqs3 fills | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $18,071 | +$2,371 +13% | 20 |
| 247d | justme0032 fills | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,168 | +$369 +12% | 20 |
| 253d | Lolololol3 fills | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $9,819 | +$1,623 +17% | 20 |
| 261d | Anon55665 fills | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $9,920 | +$2,079 +21% | 20 |
| 264d | nedsta2 fills | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $11,188 | +$1,962 +18% | 20 |
| 268d | Same-Deodorant | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | −$469 −23% | — |
| 274d |  mensur2033 | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$159 −14% | — |
| 274d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,270 | +$932 +11% | 20 |
| 284d |  WongKimArk | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$376 +18% | 20 |
| 287d | mensur2033 | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$265 +25% | 20 |
| 287d |  Car | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | −$590 −30% | — |
| 287d | BeN | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$433 +25% | 20 |
AllByMyseIf23,900 shares
account1549,951 shares
ceesten3 shares
SilverWolf2501 sharesOn January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.