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Polymarket wallet 0x9b8556181fe228435a61ae1e7abea48e92ab0f77 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Difficult-Fatigue
🏴☠️
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +163% |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 47¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | BuyYes38¢ | $1 |
| 274d | Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes70¢ | $1 |
| 274d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SellYes2¢ | $0 |
| 285d | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes47¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Trump out as President by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 286d | ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes54¢ | $1 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.