Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 8 | 100% | +82 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 7 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 9 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 10 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 6 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 11 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 15 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 13 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 12 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 14 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Trained-Notion2 fills | October 15 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | +$148 +4.9% | 4 |
| 15d | elenaarybakin21 | October 9 | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | −$1,291 −98% | — |
| 15d | Leclerc04 | October 8 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,885 | −$1,885 −100% | 12 |
| 16d | Intentional-Cane-Flow2 fills | October 10 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $6,589 | +$2,631 +40% | 9 |
| 16d |  endlesssss | October 8 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 8 |
| 16d |  themagicofcinema3 fills | October 7 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,158 | +$350 +6.8% | 5 |
| 16d | Electricy2 fills | October 7 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$285 +9.7% | 5 |
| 16d | Intentional-Cane-Flow | October 10 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | −$760 −35% | — |
| 16d |  lilpomp | October 7 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | −$105 −8.7% | — |
| 16d |  BBX1GbDS012 | October 11 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$274 +27% | 5 |
| 16d | BBX1GbDS012 | October 10 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$504 +35% | 6 |
| 16d | Intentional-Cane-Flow | October 8 | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $2,032 | +$2,032 +100% | — |
| 17d | lilpomp | October 7 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$145 +12% | 6 |
| 17d | themagicofcinema2 fills | October 6 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,581 | +$26 +0.7% | 4 |
| 17d |  Sk1z | October 7 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$158 +14% | 6 |
| 18d | Intentional-Cane-Flow | October 8 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,909 | −$1,909 −100% | 12 |
| 18d |  Rex416 | October 12 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$350 +32% | 4 |
| 18d | Rex416 | October 10 | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$997 +79% | 6 |
| 18d | elenaarybakin21 | October 9 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$1,664 +155% | 6 |
| 18d |  Anjun | October 7 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,163 | +$238 +7.5% | 5 |
| 18d | Anjun | October 6 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$30 +2.7% | 4 |
OhneScharf1,226 shares
satoshi4mokamoto815 shares
Venimous600 sharesJynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. Their goal, as of market creation, is to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world without any of the three dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos defeat the Ender Dragon live on stream, as accepted by them as a successful completion of their challenge, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only events occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October 8 means the market gives it about 100%.