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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | — | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,936 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | KiernanMeister2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,856 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 120d | browne | June 30 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | −$38 −1.9% | — |
| 121d | Newshound2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,436 | +$172 +2.3% | 10 |
| 123d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | June 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,081 | +$162 +5.3% | 10 |
| 124d | Heyo0292 | June 30 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$174 −14% | — |
| 124d | browne | June 30 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$263 +23% | 10 |
| 206d | MrMarket2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,922 | +$18 +0.2% | 10 |
| 206d |  OraculumNobius | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,495 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 217d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$27 +2.0% | 10 |
| 237d | thebestpredictor | June 30 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 10 |
| 238d | silla | June 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$311 +12% | 10 |
| 295d | alliswell | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 295d | MrMarket | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
labistiiia1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.