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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 12% | +5 pts | +3 pts | 10¢ · 14¢ (4¢) | $48 | in 250d |
| December 31 | 2% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $21 | in 69d |
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Dr.PNL188 shares
Haradwaith20 shares
bigdihhh88820 shares
0x22d479bf00cf48acfeb61c174fdae8d4e530b410 sharesIf Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 12¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 12%.
