| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 75¢ → 68¢ | $410 | −$39 −8.6% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 129d | No | 650 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $380 | −$35 −8.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 520 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $325 | −$8 −2.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 280 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $209 | −$24 −10% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Ends in 160d | No | 294 | 71¢ → 67¢ | $196 | −$13 −6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 269 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $188 | −$5 −2.8% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 208 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $170 | −$11 −5.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 205 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $133 | −$6 −4.6% |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 300 | 51¢ → 44¢ | $132 | −$21 −14% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | No | 150 | 95¢ → 87¢ | $130 | −$13 −8.9% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | Yes | 206 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $124 | −$12 −9.1% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 129d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 61¢ | $122 | −$14 −10% |
| Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 157 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $118 | −$6 −5.1% |
| Will John Goodman be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 130 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $110 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will "Big Walk" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 39d | No | 120 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $98 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 12d | No | 120 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $95 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 343d | Yes | 217 | 84¢ → 44¢ | $95 | −$87 −48% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 98 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $94 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 160 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $85 | −$4 −4.5% |
| Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | No | 300 | 41¢ → 28¢ | $83 | −$41 −33% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Ends ended | No | 120 | 93¢ → 66¢ | $79 | −$32 −29% |
| Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?Ends in 13h | No | 100 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $79 | −$4 −4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 79¢ | $79 | −$10 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$3 −3.8% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 180 | 53¢ → 42¢ | $75 | −$21 −22% |
| Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Ends in 11d | No | 120 | 75¢ → 62¢ | $74 | −$16 −18% |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 250 | 52¢ → 28¢ | $71 | −$59 −45% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 12d | No | 89 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $70 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 200 | 38¢ → 34¢ | $68 | −$8 −11% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 120 | 66¢ → 56¢ | $67 | −$12 −15% |
| Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 198 | 38¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$8 −10% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 94 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $66 | −$2 −3.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 70 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $64 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 300 | 47¢ → 20¢ | $60 | −$81 −57% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?Ends in 32d | No | 120 | 75¢ → 50¢ | $60 | −$30 −33% |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Ends in 191d | Yes | 360 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $60 | −$27 −31% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 84 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $59 | −$2 −3.0% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 101d | Yes | 112 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $59 | −$4 −7.0% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next?Ends in 313d | No | 120 | 83¢ → 50¢ | $59 | −$40 −40% |
| Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 62¢ → 59¢ | $59 | −$4 −5.6% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 105 | 61¢ → 54¢ | $57 | −$7 −11% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 55¢ | $55 | −$20 −26% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 435d | Yes | 150 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $53 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 74d | No | 80 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $53 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$33 −39% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?Ends in 61d | No | 80 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $50 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,220 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $49 | −$8 −14% |
| Will Bo Nix have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | Yes | 80 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $49 | −$10 −17% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 116 | 74¢ → 42¢ | $49 | −$37 −43% |
| Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?Ends in 148d | Yes | 80 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $48 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 82 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $48 | −$3 −6.7% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $47 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | Yes | 300 | 32¢ → 16¢ | $47 | −$50 −52% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 117 | 42¢ → 40¢ | $46 | −$3 −6.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Ends in 12d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $44 | −$4 −7.5% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 53 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $44 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 40d | Yes | 100 | 48¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$5 −9.4% |
| Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 43¢ | $43 | −$34 −44% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?Ends in 12d | No | 60 | 86¢ → 71¢ | $42 | −$9 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 12d | No | 60 | 86¢ → 71¢ | $42 | −$9 −18% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 100 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $42 | −$2 −3.5% |
| Will Egypt win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group B?Ends in 159d | No | 120 | 55¢ → 34¢ | $41 | −$25 −38% |
| Will Javonte Williams have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | No | 60 | 76¢ → 68¢ | $41 | −$5 −11% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 231 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $40 | −$6 −12% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild record 110+ points?Ends in 189d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $40 | −$4 −8.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 435d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 20¢ | $40 | −$18 −31% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 13d | Yes | 393 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $40 | −$28 −41% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 91d | No | 119 | 93¢ → 33¢ | $39 | −$72 −65% |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 60 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $39 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 100 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $39 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 74d | No | 84 | 58¢ → 46¢ | $38 | −$11 −22% |
| Will Natalia Silva fight Alexa Grasso next?Ends in 347d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$3 −7.4% |
| Will Napoli reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Ends in 128d | No | 60 | 64¢ → 62¢ | $37 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will Trevor Lawrence have 4,024.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | No | 80 | 64¢ → 46¢ | $37 | −$14 −28% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 59 | 77¢ → 63¢ | $37 | −$9 −19% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens record 100+ points?Ends in 189d | Yes | 78 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $36 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Will Andrew Garfield be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $36 | −$6 −14% |
| Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 600 | 25¢ → 6¢ | $36 | −$114 −76% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 435d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 70¢ | $35 | −$3 −7.4% |
| Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 120 | 59¢ → 29¢ | $35 | −$36 −51% |
| Will Javonte Williams have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | No | 80 | 51¢ → 43¢ | $34 | −$6 −16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Ends in 12d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?Ends in 128d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 343d | No | 48 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $34 | −$6 −15% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 56¢ | $34 | −$14 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | No | 43 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will "When I'm Home" from The Odyssey be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 50 | 79¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$7 −17% |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 235d | Yes | 49 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$3 −8.0% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1166d | Yes | 117 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $31 | −$5 −13% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 149 | 38¢ → 21¢ | $31 | −$25 −45% |
| Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 235d | Yes | 59 | 64¢ → 52¢ | $31 | −$7 −19% |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2?Ends in 11d | No | 44 | 82¢ → 71¢ | $31 | −$5 −14% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 80d | Yes | 120 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $31 | −$3 −8.9% |
| Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 30¢ | $30 | −$16 −34% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | No | 31 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?Ends ended | No | 120 | 46¢ → 24¢ | $29 | −$26 −48% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 74 | 58¢ → 39¢ | $28 | −$14 −34% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 80 | 43¢ → 36¢ | $28 | −$6 −17% |
| Will Uganda win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?Ends in 159d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 68¢ | $27 | −$3 −10% |
