| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 68d | No | 14,097 | 24¢ → 86¢ | $12,053 | +$8,609 +250% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 10,000 | 51¢ → 80¢ | $8,000 | +$2,850 +55% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 9,000 | 43¢ → 68¢ | $6,075 | +$2,229 +58% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 15,000 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $4,125 | +$983 +31% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 19,263 | 11¢ → 20¢ | $3,756 | +$1,660 +79% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,411 | 20¢ → 44¢ | $1,060 | +$584 +123% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 1,079 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $1,038 | +$112 +12% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | OpenAI | 14,649 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $1,025 | −$472 −32% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,000 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $945 | −$1,605 −63% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 2,304 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $691 | +$67 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,793 | 44¢ → 34¢ | $610 | −$177 −23% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 854 | 43¢ → 70¢ | $594 | +$222 +60% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 8,497 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $552 | −$175 −24% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,646 | 45¢ → 15¢ | $547 | −$1,111 −67% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 3,796 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $438 | −$462 −51% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 509 | 31¢ → 79¢ | $400 | +$243 +155% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 870 | 23¢ → 44¢ | $382 | +$178 +87% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 500 | 57¢ → 75¢ | $373 | +$88 +31% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 451 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $365 | +$36 +11% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 7h | No | 387 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $351 | +$23 +7.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | No | 397 | 28¢ → 76¢ | $303 | +$193 +175% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,730 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $285 | −$49 −15% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 629 | 55¢ → 44¢ | $277 | −$70 −20% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 356 | 20¢ → 75¢ | $267 | +$194 +270% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,341 | 50¢ → 19¢ | $248 | −$416 −63% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 460 | 47¢ → 53¢ | $244 | +$26 +12% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,000 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $220 | −$320 −59% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 271 | 27¢ → 76¢ | $206 | +$133 +183% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 262 | 40¢ → 77¢ | $202 | +$97 +92% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,186 | 28¢ → 16¢ | $184 | −$146 −44% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,074 | 27¢ → 8¢ | $156 | −$401 −72% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 259 | 51¢ → 58¢ | $150 | +$19 +15% |
| Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 166 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $144 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 137 | 36¢ → 74¢ | $101 | +$52 +107% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 130 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $99 | +$4 +4.3% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 398 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $64 | +$36 +127% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 56¢ → 12¢ | $57 | −$222 −79% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 500 | 26¢ → 11¢ | $55 | −$77 −58% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 317 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $54 | +$11 +26% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 700 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $52 | −$52 −50% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $51 | +$6 +13% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 110 | 21¢ → 44¢ | $48 | +$25 +111% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 434d | No | 123 | 59¢ → 38¢ | $47 | −$26 −36% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,646 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $44 | −$29 −40% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,399 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $44 | −$277 −86% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 547 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $31 | −$3 −7.6% |
| Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 151 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $27 | +$8 +38% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 336 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $27 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 54¢ → 32¢ | $26 | −$18 −41% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 250 | 45¢ → 10¢ | $25 | −$88 −78% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $19 | −$25 −57% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4,014 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $18 | −$71 −80% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 646 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $16 | +$1 +9.3% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 82 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$10 −46% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,424 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$13 −54% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$27 −73% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 198 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$6 −40% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$1 +240% |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 5 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 577 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,219 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$290 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,325 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,553 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$678 −100% |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,500 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,767 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,077 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$277 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,049 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$279 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 219 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$468 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 623 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$238 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,080 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 970 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 431 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.225T by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$307 −100% |
| Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 832 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$509 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,697 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$792 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$612 −100% |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,041 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,103 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 415 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 292 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,061 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$181 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,113 −100% |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,389 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,451 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$660 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$550 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,258 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,170 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$329 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,783 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,190 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,127 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$396 −100% |
| Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,488 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
