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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | taesookim | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo95¢ | $1,302 | −$2 −0.1% | 20 |
| 10d | 0xafEe22 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo94¢ → 95¢ | $6,851 | −$53 −0.8% | — |
| 40d |  0xdc3E831cad | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,339 | −$40 −3.0% | — |
| 43d | fpjsqj | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 95¢ | $5,111 | −$204 −4.0% | — |
| 66d | itsyourboyman | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,123 | −$96 −4.5% | — |
| 66d | thoodr | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,004 | +$88 +4.4% | 20 |
| 66d | juniper | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 95¢ | $1,195 | −$66 −5.5% | — |
| 72d | Stableincome | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,257 | +$97 +4.3% | 20 |
| 82d | fnjadefy | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,232 | −$96 −7.8% | — |
| 84d | fpjsqj | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $5,000 | +$315 +6.3% | 20 |
| 94d | Puciu | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,711 | +$77 +4.5% | 20 |
| 124d | hotgirlisme | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,466 | +$56 +3.8% | 20 |
| 126d | seyo3 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $14,605 | +$895 +6.1% | 20 |
| 132d | skylove | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 95¢ | $2,007 | −$120 −6.0% | — |
| 133d | pardens | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $8,000 | +$366 +4.6% | 20 |
| 136d |  🤺Yoon18nom2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $5,938 | +$369 +6.2% | 20 |
| 138d | billckman3 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 95¢ | $4,378 | +$282 +6.4% | 20 |
| 139d | exV | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $3,000 | +$175 +5.8% | 20 |
| 139d | Ill-Informed-Catalyst | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $2,208 | −$219 −9.9% | — |
| 139d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $1,281 | −$124 −9.6% | — |
| 141d |  donjo2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $7,952 | −$751 −9.4% | — |
| 145d | JoseB144 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,283 | −$57 −4.5% | — |
| 150d | 0xafEe2 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $2,907 | +$139 +4.8% | 20 |
| 153d | Posh-Swimming | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,044 | −$79 −7.5% | — |
| 163d | YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE17 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyYes35¢ → 5¢ | $51,388 | −$44,190 −86% | 36 |
| 163d | rsozen2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo83¢ → 95¢ | $4,942 | −$748 −15% | — |
| 164d | JoseB144 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,425 | +$120 +8.4% | 20 |
| 164d | MicroShift | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo83¢ → 95¢ | $1,003 | −$147 −15% | — |
| 164d | rsozen3 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $4,032 | +$954 +24% | 20 |
| 165d | skylove2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo79¢ → 95¢ | $6,261 | +$1,291 +21% | 20 |
| 165d |  dreakso | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SellNo76¢ → 95¢ | $1,407 | −$354 −25% | — |
| 165d |  BrightTiger | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo73¢ → 95¢ | $1,229 | +$375 +31% | 20 |
| 165d | whhhiew2 fills | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 95¢ | $6,600 | +$797 +12% | 20 |
HoneybeeAlliance35,204 shares
xiehueng43,963 shares🤺Yoon18nom32,818 sharesBrightTiger28,370 shares
TeemuPukki14,006 shares
Nadmi13,467 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 5%.