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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 12% | +6 pts | +3 pts | 10¢ · 14¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | NeoOracle | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,507 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 139d | Huludubu | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,115 | +$385 +12% | 20 |
| 140d |  Roro22 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$176 +12% | 20 |
| 140d | madman666 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$190 −15% | — |
| 143d |  paddaa | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$210 +9.1% | 20 |
| 153d | 65765757 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$355 +23% | 20 |
| 205d | Detailed-Lip | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$525 +51% | 20 |
| 220d | tigerchen | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $3,463 | +$3,502 +101% | 20 |
| 229d | allen7295 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | +$1,444 +100% | — |
| 236d |  WhiteLivesMatter | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $4,931 | +$3,428 +70% | 20 |
| 286d | tgrdy | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$500 −33% | — |
| 291d |  AngryRhino | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,747 | +$1,202 +25% | 20 |
BeltzaCapital400 shares
Javier777Milei200 shares
bubububblebutt53 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 12¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 12%.