| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,216 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,193 | +$15 +1.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,138 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $979 | +$77 +8.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 884 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $729 | +$12 +1.6% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 441 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $388 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$28 +11% |
| Will Demon1 leave ENVY in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 287 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $280 | +$25 +9.7% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 305 | 61¢ → 89¢ | $272 | +$85 +46% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 271 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $262 | +$42 +19% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 272 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $243 | +$26 +12% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 258 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $226 | +$15 +7.1% |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 232 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $216 | +$26 +14% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 229 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $211 | +$19 +9.8% |
| Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 220 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $208 | +$24 +13% |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 210 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $201 | +$16 +8.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 186 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $175 | +$8 +5.0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 183 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $173 | +$4 +2.6% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $165 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 191 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $152 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 163 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $149 | +$5 +3.6% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 173 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $149 | +$4 +2.6% |
| Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 159 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $148 | +$16 +12% |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 110 mph?Ends in 8d | Yes | 135 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $134 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 184 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $134 | +$19 +16% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 129 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $127 | +$11 +9.8% |
| Will Meteor leave T1 in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 116 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $116 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 169 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $113 | $0 0.0% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 184 | 57¢ → 62¢ | $113 | +$9 +8.3% |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 123 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $109 | +$5 +5.2% |
| F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?Ends in 58d | Yes | 176 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $103 | −$3 −2.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 115 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $102 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $95 | −$0 −0.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 92 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $85 | +$6 +8.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 116 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $83 | +$10 +14% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 98 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $82 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?Ends ended | No | 80 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $80 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$9 +12% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 95 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $73 | −$7 −8.3% |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 72 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $68 | +$10 +16% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 83 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $66 | +$5 +8.9% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be under 5.3?Ends ended | No | 66 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $66 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 76 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $65 | +$8 +15% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 67 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $63 | +$5 +8.5% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 68 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $60 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 62 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $59 | +$9 +18% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?Ends ended | No | 55 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $55 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $54 | +$11 +24% |
| Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 55 | 67¢ → 98¢ | $54 | +$17 +45% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 66 | 68¢ → 77¢ | $51 | +$6 +13% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$3 +6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 58 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 64 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $48 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 51 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $48 | +$7 +17% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 53 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $46 | +$11 +32% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 6.1 or more?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.4% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 52 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $45 | +$3 +7.9% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 61 | 60¢ → 72¢ | $44 | +$7 +19% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 44 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $41 | +$10 +31% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $40 | +$7 +20% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 44 | 68¢ → 90¢ | $40 | +$10 +33% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 52 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $40 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 49 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $37 | +$3 +10% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 43 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $37 | +$6 +21% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 36¢ | $36 | −$5 −12% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $36 | +$3 +10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 36 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $35 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$6 +22% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 35 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $34 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $33 | +$2 +7.8% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $32 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 41 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $32 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $31 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 52¢ → 86¢ | $31 | +$12 +65% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $30 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $30 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 29 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $29 | +$5 +20% |
| Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 29 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $28 | +$4 +16% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $28 | +$4 +16% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $28 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 30 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$2 +7.7% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 28 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $27 | +$9 +52% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 34 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $26 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | Yes | 26 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $26 | +$4 +18% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $25 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 28 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $25 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 27 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 27 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $24 | +$4 +21% |
