| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3,462 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $3,154 | +$645 +26% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,532 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $1,810 | +$128 +7.6% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,150 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1,146 | +$37 +3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 2,607 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $913 | +$54 +6.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 917 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $904 | +$60 +7.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 772 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $683 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 750 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $672 | +$60 +9.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?Ends in 189d | No | 1,000 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $560 | −$40 −6.7% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 548 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $521 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 568 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $520 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 589 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $480 | −$12 −2.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 7,266 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $472 | −$730 −61% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 479 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $409 | −$7 −1.7% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,111 | 61¢ → 36¢ | $400 | −$274 −41% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Ends in 373d | No | 1,000 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $340 | −$10 −2.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,730 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $315 | −$590 −65% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Ends in 403d | No | 1,008 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $312 | −$20 −6.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 251 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $251 | +$6 +2.4% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$2 +1.2% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 218 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $183 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 183 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $180 | +$7 +4.1% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 159 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $156 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 193 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $123 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 105 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $100 | +$7 +7.8% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 94 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $91 | +$15 +20% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 161 | 19¢ → 51¢ | $82 | +$52 +175% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $63 | +$13 +25% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $63 | −$2 −3.5% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 69 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $62 | +$4 +7.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Ends in 312d | Yes | 94 | 58¢ → 60¢ | $57 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 51 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $50 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 56 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $49 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 459 | 24¢ → 11¢ | $48 | −$60 −56% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 63 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $47 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 59 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 354 | 23¢ → 12¢ | $41 | −$41 −50% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 207 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $35 | +$4 +12% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,157 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $29 | −$119 −80% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 749 | 23¢ → 3¢ | $25 | −$149 −85% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $24 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 220d | Yes | 46 | 47¢ → 52¢ | $24 | +$2 +8.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 127 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $17 | −$13 −42% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 234 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $15 | −$2 −14% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d | Yes | 431 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$15 −50% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 69d | Yes | 371 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 224 | 15¢ → 7¢ | $15 | −$20 −58% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 111 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $11 | −$5 −32% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 89 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $10 | −$6 −36% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 17 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 54 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $5 | −$3 −37% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 5 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,453 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$17 −89% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$6 −78% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 78 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$0 +33% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 334 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 471 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,940 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$499 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,569 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$188 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 290 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 251 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,405 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,355 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,481 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,220 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$454 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,547 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 574 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 68 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 553 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 944 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,717 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,179 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 313 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,568 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$305 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,915 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 335 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,753 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,594 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,140 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,271 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 950 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,877 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$926 −100% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,744 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$450 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25,704 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,225 −100% |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 591 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 505 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 515 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$274 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 780 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$747 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,705 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,756 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,483 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$438 −100% |
