| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | No | 5,354 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $5,298 | +$254 +5.0% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,450 | 55¢ → 67¢ | $5,006 | +$920 +22% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 4,136 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $4,082 | +$42 +1.0% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,450 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $2,082 | +$138 +7.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,501 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $1,492 | +$176 +13% |
| Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Ends in 11d | No | 899 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $834 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 1d | No | 809 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $804 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 2h | No | 728 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $663 | +$26 +4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 802 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $545 | +$24 +4.7% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 575 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $529 | +$24 +4.8% |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 575 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $507 | −$26 −5.0% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 470 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $465 | +$25 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 677 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $457 | +$27 +6.3% |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 575 | 79¢ → 71¢ | $410 | −$42 −9.2% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 507 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $403 | +$24 +6.5% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 575 | 74¢ → 65¢ | $375 | −$50 −12% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 405 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $365 | +$69 +24% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Ends in 1d | No | 341 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $338 | +$4 +1.3% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 421 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $282 | −$8 −2.6% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,451 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $279 | −$327 −54% |
| Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $256 | −$14 −5.1% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | No | 254 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $253 | +$21 +8.9% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $236 | +$7 +3.1% |
| Will Bournemouth finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 253 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $221 | +$4 +1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 227 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $201 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 224 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $200 | +$25 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 227 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $187 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 252 | 73¢ → 69¢ | $173 | −$12 −6.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 160 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $154 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 421 | 24¢ → 34¢ | $143 | +$43 +42% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,451 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $134 | −$419 −76% |
| Will Twente finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 234 | 48¢ → 56¢ | $132 | +$21 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 227 | 57¢ → 57¢ | $129 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 2h | No | 133 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $124 | +$17 +16% |
| Will SDA win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 124 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $121 | +$8 +7.5% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 182 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $119 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 507 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $117 | −$7 −5.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 294 | 43¢ → 37¢ | $109 | −$18 −14% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026?Ends in 51d | No | 102 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $94 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 1d | No | 5,356 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $91 | −$157 −63% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 118 | 66¢ → 77¢ | $90 | +$12 +15% |
| Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by December 27, 2026?Ends in 65d | No | 102 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $89 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 252 | 20¢ → 35¢ | $88 | +$37 +73% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?Ends in 65d | No | 90 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $86 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 681 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $83 | +$20 +32% |
| Will Twente finish top 8 in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 234 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $83 | −$23 −22% |
| Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election?Ends in 11d | No | 79 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $79 | +$3 +4.2% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 118 | 78¢ → 65¢ | $76 | −$16 −17% |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 681 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $76 | −$4 −4.9% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Ends in 434d | No | 245 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $64 | +$9 +16% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 118 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $62 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 61 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Lorena finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $57 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 67 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $56 | +$12 +28% |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 73 | 25¢ → 75¢ | $54 | +$36 +198% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 182 | 27¢ → 29¢ | $53 | +$3 +6.9% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 7, 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 54 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $53 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 899 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $51 | −$6 −9.8% |
| Will Fulham finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 233d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $50 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 5, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 54 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 99¢ → 96¢ | $48 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 2h | No | 729 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $47 | −$35 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $46 | +$2 +3.7% |
| Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 44 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Monaco finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 60 | 52¢ → 66¢ | $40 | +$8 +27% |
| Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $36 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 294 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $35 | +$3 +8.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 138 | 21¢ → 23¢ | $31 | +$3 +9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Ends in 11d | No | 31 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 681 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $29 | −$14 −33% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$6 +25% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 47 | 17¢ → 56¢ | $27 | +$19 +230% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 405 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $26 | −$45 −63% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,501 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $25 | −$11 −31% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 138 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $24 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Oregon before the midterms?Ends in 10d | No | 46 | 66¢ → 51¢ | $23 | −$7 −23% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $22 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 224 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $22 | −$7 −23% |
| Will Braga finish top 8 in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 60 | 53¢ → 35¢ | $21 | −$11 −34% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 138 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $21 | −$2 −8.3% |
| Will Bournemouth finish top 8 in UEL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 253 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $20 | +$8 +60% |
| Will Aston Villa finish top 8 in UCL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 40 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 47 | 70¢ → 43¢ | $20 | −$13 −40% |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will Gent finish top 8 in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 38 | 40¢ → 50¢ | $19 | +$4 +24% |
| Will Gent finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 38 | 46¢ → 50¢ | $19 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will Aston Villa finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 40 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $19 | +$2 +11% |
| Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 2h | No | 19 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 4,139 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$17 −47% |
| Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 294 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $18 | +$2 +16% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Ends in 434d | No | 48 | 22¢ → 36¢ | $17 | +$7 +64% |
| Will Getafe finish top 8 in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$7 +74% |
| Will Braga finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 60 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $17 | −$5 −24% |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 218d | No | 28 | 45¢ → 59¢ | $16 | +$4 +31% |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Monaco finish top 8 in UECL league phase?Ends in 99d | No | 60 | 41¢ → 27¢ | $16 | −$8 −34% |
| Will Barcelona finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$2 +18% |
