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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117d |  BeneGesseritVoice | June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,350 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 119d | ALONE364 fills | June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $38,714 | −$136 −0.4% | — |
| 119d | ALONE364 fills | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,714 | +$136 +0.4% | 4 |
| 121d | alwaysOn | June 30 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,696 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 122d |  Warren-Buffett | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,716 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 123d | TronOG2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,428 | +$45 +1.0% | 4 |
| 124d | AZLAN65982 fills | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,632 | −$118 −0.8% | — |
| 124d | AZLAN65982 fills | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,632 | +$118 +0.8% | 4 |
| 127d | 0x0e31…680c | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,795 | −$55 −0.7% | — |
| 127d | 0x0e31…680c | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,795 | +$55 +0.7% | 4 |
| 127d | IAMSHAH893 fills | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,332 | −$213 −0.9% | — |
| 127d | IAMSHAH893 fills | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,332 | +$213 +0.9% | 4 |
| 130d | 0x4b0e…06776 fills | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $44,849 | −$744 −1.7% | — |
| 130d | 0x4b0e…06777 fills | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $48,454 | +$871 +1.8% | 4 |
| 132d | Dafu071513 fills | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $41,257 | +$652 +1.6% | 4 |
| 136d |  TylerTurden | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$27 +1.8% | 4 |
| 136d | Dafu07153 fills | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,192 | −$103 −2.0% | — |
| 136d | lunarhelix | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$23 +1.8% | 4 |
| 137d | nedsta | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$38 +1.8% | 4 |
| 142d | 0x2a3b…51b410 fills | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $75,088 | −$1,832 −2.4% | — |
| 142d | 0x2a3b…51b411 fills | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $84,347 | +$2,108 +2.5% | 4 |
| 143d |  johnnyA3 fills | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,708 | +$106 +2.9% | 4 |
| 145d |  NotBakerMcKenzie | May 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,330 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 146d |  elmcap22 fills | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $121,326 | +$126 +0.1% | 4 |
| 150d | BABLO132 fills | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,289 | +$321 +2.2% | 4 |
| 150d | BABLO132 fills | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,300 | +$79 +0.6% | 4 |
| 152d | ALONEKINH2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,301 | +$413 +2.9% | 4 |
| 152d | ALONEKINH2 fills | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,314 | +$86 +0.6% | 4 |
| 153d | REWARDIS3 fills | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,254 | +$438 +3.3% | 4 |
| 153d | REWARDIS3 fills | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,271 | +$119 +0.9% | 4 |
| 154d | 0x4b0e…0677 | May 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,175 | −$75 −1.2% | — |
| 154d | 0x4b0e…06772 fills | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,647 | +$103 +1.1% | 4 |
| 158d | 0xa3f6…c142 | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,837 | +$139 +3.6% | 4 |
| 158d | 0xa3f6…c142 | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,843 | +$27 +0.7% | 4 |
| 159d | OKASME2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,961 | +$290 +4.9% | 4 |
| 159d | OKASME5 fills | May 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,253 | +$256 +1.7% | 4 |
| 172d | 0x83dc…2623 | May 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,059 | +$91 +3.0% | 4 |
| 173d | EWRTYU | June 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,839 | +$181 +6.4% | 4 |
| 175d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,889 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 176d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,964 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 176d | Dafu0715 | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,762 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 177d | nedsta2 fills | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,423 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 180d |  tetrase | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,473 | −$27 −0.6% | — |
| 180d | elmcap2 | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,483 | +$50 +0.8% | 4 |
| 183d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 183d |  ColdConviction | May 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | +$116 +5.5% | 4 |
| 188d | NotBakerMcKenzie3 fills | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,359 | +$290 +1.2% | 4 |
| 188d | vmofg | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$20 −1.6% | — |
| 188d | anodh | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,540 | −$54 −1.5% | — |
| 188d | aaaaaag | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | −$42 −1.4% | — |
| 189d |  CongMingLabs | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$27 +1.6% | 4 |
| 193d | tetrase2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,059 | +$80 +2.6% | 4 |
| 195d | anodh | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$59 +2.4% | 4 |
| 195d | aaaaaag | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | +$37 +2.4% | 4 |
| 198d | TylerTurden | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$30 +2.9% | 4 |
| 201d |  Zykoer | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$36 +2.2% | 4 |
| 201d | ColdConviction | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$33 +2.7% | 4 |
| 203d | nonkenny90 | April 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$31 +2.9% | 4 |
| 205d | okcoolstorybro5 fills | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,448 | +$369 +2.7% | 4 |
| 205d |  BloodyMummer | March 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,597 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
autisem3,333 shares
ManAreBrave1,385 shares
Spirit-LT1,001 shares
notalkletsplay1,000 shares
RememberAmalek718 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 0%.