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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lucie Castets | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No new PM | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Lisnard | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Éric Zemmour | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Retailleau | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xavier Bertrand | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valérie Pécresse | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan Bardella | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gérald Darmanin | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Moscovici | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Éric Lombard | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catherine Vautrin | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean Castex | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roland Lescure | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Election called | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Attal | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Élisabeth Borne | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| François Bayrou | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean-Louis Borloo | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thierry Beaudet | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Olivier Faure | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Boris Vallaud | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gérard Larcher | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d | jaihind | Election called | SellNo>99¢ | $2,122 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | Legal-Clockwork | Election called | SellNo>99¢ | $2,045 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 378d |  aenews2 | No new PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,985 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | AB2 | Bernard Cazeneuve | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  cubsy | Election called | SellNo>99¢ | $2,905 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  scout | Xavier Bertrand | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,398 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  classified | David Lisnard | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,446 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  theta-thunberg2 fills | Jean-Louis Borloo | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,093 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 378d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | No new PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,686 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  Car | No new PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,979 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  sleepy-panda | No new PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 378d | rezarah | No new PM | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 378d | pantomime | No new PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,167 | +$148 +1.2% | 4 |
| 378d |  SPIT | No new PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 |
| 378d | scout2 fills | No new PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,035 | +$34 +0.8% | 4 |
| 378d | Michael5289 | Lucie Castets | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  DFK | Thierry Beaudet | BuyNo100¢ | $2,587 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 378d | Snoorrason | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,326 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 378d | DFK | Election called | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$93 +3.8% | 20 |
| 378d | Snoorrason | Éric Zemmour | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,320 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 378d | Snoorrason | François Bayrou | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,816 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 378d | DFK | Catherine Vautrin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 378d | DFK | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 378d | DFK | François Bayrou | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 |
| 378d |  Frosen | François Bayrou | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$35 +1.6% | 4 |
| 378d | TinyBluePikmin | No new PM | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | −$1,056 −100% | 4 |
| 378d | Frosen2 fills | Gérald Darmanin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | +$26 +0.8% | 4 |
| 378d | Frosen | Gabriel Attal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | +$19 +0.8% | 4 |
| 378d | BobbyB3 fills | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,913 | +$20 +0.4% | 4 |
| 378d | Frosen | Bernard Cazeneuve | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$24 +2.2% | 4 |
| 378d | kunann | No new PM | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | +$1,005 +100% | — |
| 378d | theta-thunberg | Lucie Castets | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 378d |  middleoftheocean | No new PM | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $7,495 | −$7,495 −100% | 4 |
| 378d | kunann | No new PM | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | −$1,332 −100% | 4 |
| 378d | theta-thunberg | Thierry Beaudet | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,506 | +$11 +0.4% | 4 |
| 378d | rezarah | No new PM | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$159 +16% | 4 |
| 378d | Michael52892 fills | Jean-Louis Borloo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,036 | +$18 +0.6% | 4 |
| 378d | theta-thunberg | Éric Lombard | BuyNo100¢ | $2,116 | +$11 +0.5% | 4 |
| 378d | Michael5289 | Bernard Cazeneuve | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,413 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 378d |  AllByMyseIf | Gérard Larcher | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,387 | +$24 +0.7% | 4 |
| 378d | AllByMyseIf | Roland Lescure | SellNo>99¢ | $1,228 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 378d | cubsy | Election called | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$43 +1.5% | 20 |
| 378d | AllByMyseIf | Olivier Faure | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,146 | +$51 +1.6% | 4 |
| 378d | BobbyB5 fills | Éric Zemmour | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,259 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | AllByMyseIf | Roland Lescure | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$37 +3.1% | 4 |
| 378d | OLOTH | Éric Zemmour | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,461 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | altjerm | Laurent Wauquiez | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,286 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 378d | BobbyB | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  Orwell8442 fills | Olivier Faure | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,973 | +$184 +4.6% | 4 |
| 378d |  Patroclus | Olivier Faure | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$454 +26% | 4 |
Kainark134 sharesThis market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu,. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.