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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Thune | 53% | +1 pts | +7 pts | 51¢ · 55¢ (4¢) | $20 | in 71d |
| Chuck Schumer | 40% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 37¢ · 42¢ (5¢) | $82 | in 71d |
| John Barrasso | 5% | −3 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (9¢) | $20 | in 71d |
| Mark Kelly | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $20 | in 71d |
| Rick Scott | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $20 | in 71d |
| Patty Murray | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 71d |
| Brian Schatz | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $20 | in 71d |
| Cory Booker | <1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $50 | in 71d |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | 0 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $20 | in 71d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
macrosteaks38 shares
youtube-trader20 shares
James-Talarico532 shares
ChiangWan-an310 shares
Haradwaith36 sharesThis market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 53¢ for John Thune means the market gives it about 53%.