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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85d | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNothing>99¢ | $2,952 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 86d | hello1234567889 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellNothing>99¢ | $1,245 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 86d | HughJackman | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellNothing>99¢ | $1,748 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 87d | bforrest | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNothing98¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$35 +2.6% | 4 |
| 87d | 53534 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNothing83¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$508 +20% | 7 |
| 98d | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellNothing94¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | −$74 −6.3% | — | |
| 104d | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNothing80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$251 +25% | 4 | |
| 114d | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNothing87¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$169 +15% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.