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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | justme0033 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,002 | −$798 −13% | — |
| 297d | denizz2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $17,067 | −$1,419 −8.3% | — |
| 297d | lowrisk242 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,216 | −$476 −15% | — |
| 298d | Folletin | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes>99¢ | $3,300 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 307d | GigaBrainConsulting | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,543 | −$75 −1.7% | — |
| 316d | GigaBrainConsulting | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$118 +2.6% | 20 |
| 316d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,715 | +$147 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 316d | Known-Stock | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,865 | +$135 +2.8% | 20 |
| 316d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $15,786 | +$2,119 +13% | 20 | |
| 326d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,313 | +$171 +5.2% | 20 | |
| 329d | Meitah | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$94 +6.2% | 20 |
| 330d | justme0033 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $5,821 | +$1,211 +21% | 20 |
| 330d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$231 +9.1% | 20 | |
| 330d | jeffhardy | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$182 +12% | 20 |
| 334d | nedsta | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | −$176 −11% | — |
| 335d | JoeBlack01 | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | −$159 −9.9% | — |
| 336d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$162 −12% | — | |
| 337d | i5mogger | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$147 +6.7% | 20 |
| 339d | CrashOverride95 | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,599 | +$194 +5.4% | 20 |
| 346d | NoSleep | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$93 −8.7% | — |
| 349d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | −$149 −8.7% | — | |
| 349d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | −$143 −7.5% | — | |
| 352d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyNo7¢ → 0¢ | $1,041 | −$1,041 −100% | 20 | |
| 355d | nedsta2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,356 | +$444 +8.3% | 20 |
| 360d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $7,746 | −$1,574 −20% | — | |
| 363d | MrPatriarch2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | −$1,096 −23% | — |
| 366d | YannisZ | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$350 +16% | 20 |
| 367d | MrPatriarch2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $4,538 | +$1,430 +31% | 20 |
| 368d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$483 +35% | 20 | |
| 370d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | −$400 −25% | — | |
| 370d | lowrisk22 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $5,028 | −$1,172 −23% | — |
| 373d | lowrisk22 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,668 | +$533 +20% | 20 |
| 379d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | +$494 +24% | 20 | |
| 380d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$311 +25% | 20 | |
| 380d | gulliblebettor3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,443 | −$1,995 −27% | — |
| 380d | denizz | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $6,896 | +$1,840 +27% | 20 |
| 383d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $6,412 | +$1,704 +27% | 20 | |
| 387d | KrackenSruster | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$308 +28% | 20 |
| 393d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$390 +35% | 20 | |
| 395d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $4,165 | −$4,165 −100% | 28 | |
| 395d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | −$565 −39% | — | |
| 395d | Eatpraylove | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,378 | −$1,378 −100% | 21 |
| 396d | gulliblebettor | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$450 +39% | 20 |
| 396d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | −$626 −33% | — | |
| 396d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $3,218 | −$3,218 −100% | 26 | |
| 396d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $5,971 | −$1,581 −26% | — | |
| 396d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,277 | +$726 +22% | 20 | |
| 397d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,871 | +$908 +23% | 20 | |
| 398d | Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$382 +24% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Nuclear weapon detonated - Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize - Ukraine election called - US-Russia nuclear deal - Mass Gaza population relocation - Ukraine agrees to give up the rest of Donbas Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war2.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war3.png
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.