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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 33% | +3 pts | +11 pts | 31¢ · 34¢ (3¢) | $7.5 | in 225d |
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 25% | −3 pts | −12 pts | 11¢ · 40¢ (29¢) | — | in 225d |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 19% | +1 pts | −8 pts | 17¢ · 21¢ (5¢) | $47.4 | in 225d |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 18% | +17 pts | +16 pts | 1¢ · 35¢ (34¢) | $62.9 | in 225d |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 14% | +9 pts | +7 pts | 1¢ · 27¢ (25¢) | — | in 225d |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 6% | −3 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 225d |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 225d |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 4% | +2 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 225d |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 3% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 225d |
| Martha Herrera González | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 225d |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 225d |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 2% | +1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $20.1 | in 225d |
| Waldo Fernández González | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 225d |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | 1% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Héctor García García | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Fernando Margáin Berlanga | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 225d |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 225d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | Daniel Carrillo Martínez | BuyNo81¢ → >99¢ | $2,002 | +$468 +23% | 10 | |
| 61d | Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | BuyNo68¢ → 81¢ | $1,216 | +$233 +19% | 30 | |
| 70d | Clara Luz Flores Carrales | BuyNo83¢ → 75¢ | $1,616 | −$168 −10% | 10 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 33¢ for Adrián de la Garza Santos means the market gives it about 33%.