| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 379 | 53¢ → 84¢ | $316 | +$115 +57% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | Yes | 340 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $314 | +$91 +41% |
| Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 34¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$186 +185% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 400 | 34¢ → 65¢ | $258 | +$122 +90% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 25¢ → 76¢ | $229 | +$155 +209% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 42¢ → 44¢ | $221 | +$13 +6.3% |
| Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Ends in 12d | No | 307 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $218 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 241 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $216 | +$18 +9.1% |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$34 +22% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 198 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $188 | +$12 +6.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$30 +19% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$53 +41% |
| Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 199 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $172 | +$26 +18% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 85¢ | $169 | +$158 +1437% |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 220 | 59¢ → 77¢ | $168 | +$38 +29% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 202 | 51¢ → 82¢ | $165 | +$62 +60% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 300 | 94¢ → 48¢ | $145 | −$138 −49% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 171 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $141 | +$43 +44% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 155 | 38¢ → 87¢ | $135 | +$76 +130% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $133 | +$7 +5.6% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 190 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $130 | +$16 +14% |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 143 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $130 | +$6 +5.1% |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 126 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $122 | +$6 +5.6% |
| Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 200 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $122 | +$10 +8.9% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 143 | 64¢ → 85¢ | $121 | +$29 +32% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 155 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $120 | +$31 +34% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 150 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $119 | +$15 +14% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 120 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $115 | +$12 +12% |
| Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Ends in 12d | Yes | 222 | 42¢ → 51¢ | $113 | +$20 +21% |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 226d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$13 +16% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 125 | 53¢ → 75¢ | $94 | +$27 +41% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$8 +9.3% |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 140 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $92 | −$11 −10% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$4 +4.9% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 89 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $86 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 12d | No | 103 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $82 | +$5 +6.5% |
| Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Ends in 12d | Yes | 257 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $78 | +$11 +17% |
| Will Nocawe Mafu be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 12d | No | 80 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $78 | +$9 +14% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 23¢ → 15¢ | $77 | −$38 −33% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $73 | +$9 +15% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 66¢ → 24¢ | $71 | −$127 −64% |
| Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 100 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $71 | +$15 +26% |
| Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 100 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $68 | +$17 +34% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 32¢ → 33¢ | $66 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Ends in 226d | No | 71 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $66 | +$6 +10% |
| Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 221 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $65 | −$15 −19% |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 80 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $62 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 460 | <1¢ → 13¢ | $58 | +$57 +4100% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 90 | 49¢ → 64¢ | $58 | +$14 +31% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 57¢ | $58 | +$38 +188% |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 80 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $53 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 351 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $51 | −$12 −19% |
| Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Ends in 12d | Yes | 257 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $49 | −$7 −13% |
| Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$7 +18% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 295 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $46 | −$12 −20% |
| Will Robert Thunfors be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Ends ended | No | 58 | 90¢ → 74¢ | $43 | −$9 −17% |
| Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 60 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $42 | +$2 +3.7% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 96 | 30¢ → 44¢ | $42 | +$13 +47% |
| Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $40 | +$3 +7.7% |
| Will Wandisile Jikeka be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Ends in 12d | No | 40 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$6 +18% |
| Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 12d | Yes | 150 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $37 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 280 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $35 | −$55 −61% |
| Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 3¢ → 11¢ | $34 | +$25 +273% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 43¢ → 22¢ | $32 | −$33 −50% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 280 | 74¢ → 12¢ | $32 | −$176 −85% |
| Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $32 | $0 0.0% |
| Will DF win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 16¢ | $32 | +$31 +2809% |
| Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 25¢ → 10¢ | $30 | −$45 −60% |
| Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 105 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $30 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Ends in 12d | Yes | 257 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $28 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 55¢ | $28 | +$2 +9.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $28 | +$3 +10% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 41¢ → 6¢ | $27 | −$179 −87% |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 31 | 66¢ → 88¢ | $27 | +$7 +34% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 295 | 21¢ → 9¢ | $27 | −$36 −58% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 72¢ → 9¢ | $27 | −$189 −88% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 26¢ | $26 | +$9 +53% |
| Will Tlangi Mogale be the next mayor of Tshwane?Ends in 12d | No | 27 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $26 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 26 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $25 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 12d | Yes | 150 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $23 | +$4 +19% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 160 | 41¢ → 14¢ | $22 | −$45 −67% |
| Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Ends ended | No | 20 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 6¢ | $18 | −$45 −71% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$5 +46% |
| Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Ends ended | Yes | 332 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $16 | +$5 +44% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 150 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 155d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 210 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $15 | +$8 +115% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | Yes | 80 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $15 | −$11 −41% |
| Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 65 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $15 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Lars-Erik Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $15 | +$13 +870% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$13 −47% |
| Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 18¢ | $14 | −$6 −29% |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 12d | Yes | 150 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $13 | −$17 −57% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 26¢ | $13 | +$7 +132% |
| Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 39¢ | $12 | +$5 +83% |
| Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 130 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $11 | +$4 +64% |
| Will HDZ BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 56 | 1¢ → 18¢ | $10 | +$10 +1950% |
