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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaafar Jackson | 17% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | — | in 89d |
| Ryan Gosling | 48% | +4 pts | +5 pts | 47¢ · 48¢ (1¢) | — | in 89d |
| Andrew Scott | 85% | — | −2 pts | 84¢ · 86¢ (2¢) | — | in 89d |
| Matt Damon | 94% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 93¢ · 96¢ (3¢) | — | in 89d |
| Sebastian Stan | 19% | +2 pts | +4 pts | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | — | in 89d |
| Jeremy Strong | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 89d |
| Brad Pitt | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 89d |
| Robert Pattinson | 44% | −5 pts | +2 pts | 43¢ · 45¢ (2¢) | $907 | in 89d |
| Javier Bardem | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 89d |
| Tom Cruise | 65% | +4 pts | +4 pts | 64¢ · 65¢ (1¢) | $492 | in 142d |
| Josh O'Connor | 5% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (6¢) | — | in 89d |
| Adam Driver | 5% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | $108 | in 89d |
| Anthony Ippolito | 30% | −4 pts | −6 pts | 29¢ · 31¢ (2¢) | $71.3 | in 142d |
| Timothée Chalamet | 12% | +1 pts | −11 pts | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | $67.6 | in 89d |
| Pedro Pascal | 14% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | $43.6 | in 89d |
| Robert Aramayo | 3% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | $30 | in 89d |
| John Turturro | 44% | −8 pts | +2 pts | 42¢ · 45¢ (3¢) | $20.4 | in 89d |
| John Malkovich | 88% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 87¢ · 89¢ (2¢) | $9.48 | in 89d |
| Sam Rockwell | 7% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $1.94 | in 89d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Stonktrader | Timothée Chalamet | BuyNo78¢ → 89¢ | $3,877 | +$508 +13% | 35 |
| 8d | aviato | Robert Aramayo | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $3,688 | +$151 +4.1% | 24 |
SpyVsSpy752 shares
Haradwaith348 shares
labronzee50 shares
20YrsOfBoredom557 shares
Dr.PNL97 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 17¢ for Jaafar Jackson means the market gives it about 17%.