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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Malkovich | 44% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 42¢ · 47¢ (4¢) | $404 | in 250d |
| Andrew Scott | 19% | +3 pts | +1 pts | 17¢ · 21¢ (4¢) | $223 | in 250d |
| Matt Damon | 15% | −5 pts | −3 pts | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | $836 | in 250d |
| Tom Cruise | 12% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | $999 | in 250d |
| Robert Pattinson | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $456 | in 250d |
| Timothée Chalamet | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $1.43K | in 250d |
| John Turturro | 2% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $199 | in 250d |
| Ryan Gosling | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $199 | in 250d |
| Jeremy Strong | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $154 | in 250d |
| Yura Borisov | 1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $154 | in 141d |
| Jaafar Jackson | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $194 | in 250d |
| Anthony Ippolito | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $194 | in 141d |
| Sebastian Stan | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $194 | in 250d |
| Brad Pitt | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $194 | in 250d |
| Pedro Pascal | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $154 | in 250d |
| Adam Driver | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $154 | in 250d |
| Javier Bardem | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $154 | in 250d |
| Josh O'Connor | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $814 | in 250d |
| Robert Aramayo | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $154 | in 250d |
| Sam Rockwell | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $154 | in 250d |
| Mahershala Ali | <1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $29.5 | in 141d |
| Guy Pearce | <1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $29.5 | in 141d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | golfpro2025 | Andrew Scott | BuyNo85¢ → 81¢ | $1,293 | −$59 −4.6% | 30 |
| 79d |  Hyperlong | Brad Pitt | BuyNo93¢ → >99¢ | $2,228 | +$160 +7.2% | 25 |
| 83d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Matt Damon | BuyNo69¢ → 85¢ | $5,467 | +$1,293 +24% | 40 |
Highboard1,931 shares
doil371 sharesHyperlong206 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 44¢ for John Malkovich means the market gives it about 44%.