| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 529 | 43¢ → 86¢ | $455 | +$230 +102% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 553 | 55¢ → 60¢ | $329 | +$25 +8.2% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 383 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $312 | +$38 +14% |
| Will Yuri Fulmer win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Ends in 433d | No | 210 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $204 | +$23 +13% |
| Will Claire Rattée win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Ends in 433d | No | 220 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $197 | +$17 +9.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 205 | 37¢ → 95¢ | $195 | +$119 +156% |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Ends in 433d | No | 209 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $187 | +$32 +21% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 214 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $185 | +$59 +47% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 227 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $155 | +$10 +6.8% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 191 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $153 | +$21 +16% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 307 | 52¢ → 48¢ | $147 | −$13 −8.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 130 | 69¢ → 98¢ | $127 | +$37 +42% |
| Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Ends in 128d | No | 146 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $121 | +$8 +6.8% |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 210 | 72¢ → 55¢ | $116 | −$35 −23% |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 118 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $103 | +$11 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 104 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $96 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 128d | No | 99 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $94 | +$12 +15% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 380 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $85 | +$24 +40% |
| Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 90 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $82 | +$8 +10% |
| Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Ends in 433d | No | 103 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $80 | +$8 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 65 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $63 | +$6 +9.6% |
| Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 105 | 69¢ → 59¢ | $62 | −$10 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 64 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $62 | +$4 +7.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $61 | +$12 +23% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | No | 67 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $61 | +$7 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $60 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $60 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $60 | +$3 +5.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 68¢ → 59¢ | $59 | −$9 −13% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 128d | No | 60 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $57 | +$7 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $53 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 65 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $51 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$5 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will Chip Wilson win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Ends in 433d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 277 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $46 | −$20 −30% |
| Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 85 | 36¢ → 52¢ | $44 | +$13 +42% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 170 | 38¢ → 26¢ | $43 | −$20 −32% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Ends in 234d | No | 257 | 37¢ → 17¢ | $42 | −$53 −55% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 211 | 27¢ → 20¢ | $41 | −$16 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 25% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$7 +22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$6 +18% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 49¢ → 64¢ | $38 | +$9 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 179 | 5¢ → 21¢ | $37 | +$29 +324% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 599 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $37 | −$29 −44% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 29¢ → 54¢ | $34 | +$16 +87% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 63 | 25¢ → 47¢ | $30 | +$14 +88% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 163 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $29 | +$12 +70% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | No | 30 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$3 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $28 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 120 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $26 | +$9 +48% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 69¢ → 65¢ | $26 | −$2 −5.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 62 | 53¢ → 42¢ | $26 | −$7 −22% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 30 | 11¢ → 82¢ | $25 | +$21 +614% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$3 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $24 | +$7 +43% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $24 | +$5 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 109 | 14¢ → 20¢ | $22 | +$6 +39% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 40 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $22 | −$1 −4.4% |
| Will Sheldon Clare win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Ends in 433d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$3 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$4 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$4 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 461 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$44 −70% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be 4,700,000 or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $18 | +$7 +56% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$5 +37% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 66 | 36¢ → 27¢ | $17 | −$6 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 25% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 63 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $17 | +$3 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 34¢ | $17 | +$9 +100% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $16 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?Ends in 11d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$3 +22% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 86¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 186 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $15 | −$5 −25% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $14 | −$1 −9.0% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 128d | Yes | 202 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$7 −32% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 175 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $14 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$8 +125% |
| Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala in Georgia?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 36¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$6 +78% |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?Ends in 11d | No | 14 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 92 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $12 | −$4 −24% |
| Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 52¢ | $10 | +$4 +72% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 26 | 26¢ → 39¢ | $10 | +$3 +50% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 63 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 19¢ | $10 | +$4 +66% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | No | 20 | 44¢ → 46¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 64 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $9 | +$1 +19% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 35 | 41¢ → 22¢ | $7 | −$7 −48% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 68 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $7 | +$2 +36% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $6 | −$1 −9.3% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 10 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 73 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$3 −32% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 52 | 5¢ → 11¢ | $6 | +$3 +124% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$2 +59% |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 60 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$3 −40% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.8% |
