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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Garfield | 32% | +4 pts | −2 pts | 31¢ · 33¢ (2¢) | $182 | in 249d |
| Paul Giamatti | 28% | −1 pts | +4 pts | 27¢ · 29¢ (2¢) | $104 | in 249d |
| Guitarricadelafuente | 10% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (<1¢) | — | in 141d |
| Sam Rockwell | 7% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Robert Pattinson | 7% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 249d |
| Steve Buscemi | 5% | +4 pts | +4 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | $40.1 | in 249d |
| John Leguizamo | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 141d |
| John Goodman | 3% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 249d |
| Colman Domingo | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 249d |
| Jesse Plemons | 3% | −3 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 249d |
| Miles Teller | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 249d |
| Channing Tatum | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 249d |
| Edward Norton | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Riz Ahmed | 1% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Guy Pearce | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Daniel Craig | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Tom Holland | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Michael Fassbender | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Robert De Niro | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| Adam Scott | 1% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Himesh Patel | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| James Ortiz | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Skyler Gisondo | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 141d |
| Jeremy Strong | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Travis Scott | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Charles Melton | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | KiernanMeister | Robert Pattinson | BuyNo91¢ → 93¢ | $1,522 | +$31 +2.1% | 26 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 32¢ for Andrew Garfield means the market gives it about 32%.