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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 9% | — | −5 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | — | in 433d |
| December 31, 2029 | 26% | — | −2 pts | 23¢ · 28¢ (5¢) | — | in 1164d |
| December 31, 2028 | 12% | −3 pts | −9 pts | 8¢ · 16¢ (8¢) | $130 | in 799d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32d | nooonce | December 31, 2028 | BuyNo76¢ → 88¢ | $1,980 | +$313 +16% | 36 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Payward announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Payward. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 9%.