| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 8,644 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $4,279 | +$143 +3.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 22,331 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $3,238 | −$2,824 −47% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 29,085 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $3,054 | −$606 −17% |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 23,233 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $2,439 | −$726 −23% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 11d | No | 1,273 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $1,101 | +$135 +14% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 105d | Yes | 3,624 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $997 | −$277 −22% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 7,063 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $600 | −$237 −28% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 4,665 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $583 | +$23 +4.2% |
| Will Joseph Woll record 4+ shutouts?Ends in 193d | No | 649 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $581 | +$88 +18% |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 5,146 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $540 | −$131 −20% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | Yes | 13,549 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $481 | −$380 −44% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,458 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $467 | −$138 −23% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 3,983 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $418 | −$138 −25% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 88d | No | 588 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $413 | −$8 −1.9% |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 101d | No | 458 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $410 | +$91 +29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 4,321 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $367 | −$123 −25% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 83d | No | 735 | 51¢ → 49¢ | $360 | −$14 −3.7% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,197 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $338 | −$214 −39% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 51d | Yes | 535 | 49¢ → 62¢ | $329 | +$66 +25% |
| Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?Ends in 27d | Yes | 1,815 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $318 | +$34 +12% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 736 | 37¢ → 43¢ | $313 | +$39 +14% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 31,184 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $312 | −$2,551 −89% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,109 | 42¢ → 27¢ | $294 | −$173 −37% |
| Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 31d | No | 590 | 46¢ → 48¢ | $283 | +$10 +3.8% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,093 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $279 | −$3 −1.2% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 811 | 48¢ → 34¢ | $276 | −$116 −30% |
| Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,036 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $274 | +$50 +22% |
| Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 31d | No | 415 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $266 | +$4 +1.5% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,058 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $265 | +$51 +24% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 3,000 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $255 | −$76 −23% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 51d | No | 379 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $244 | +$23 +10% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?Ends in 44d | No | 320 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $243 | −$13 −5.3% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 4,272 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $235 | −$475 −67% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 531 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $226 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 2,109 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $221 | +$11 +5.0% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 9d | No | 653 | 47¢ → 34¢ | $219 | −$91 −29% |
| McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?Ends in 16d | No | 500 | 43¢ → 41¢ | $203 | −$13 −5.8% |
| Will Riot Games Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?Ends in 57d | No | 240 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $200 | +$35 +21% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,196 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $189 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 6,732 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $178 | −$2 −1.0% |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 31d | Yes | 344 | 38¢ → 51¢ | $176 | +$46 +36% |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 470d | Yes | 552 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $171 | +$32 +23% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,000 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $170 | −$40 −19% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 1,784 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $170 | −$14 −7.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | Yes | 1,915 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $169 | +$56 +50% |
| Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 31d | No | 247 | 55¢ → 68¢ | $168 | +$31 +23% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 600 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $168 | −$45 −21% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 59d | No | 926 | 32¢ → 18¢ | $162 | −$137 −46% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 2d | No | 2,298 | 19¢ → 7¢ | $162 | −$264 −62% |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 687 | 36¢ → 24¢ | $162 | −$84 −34% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Ends in 83d | No | 251 | 73¢ → 63¢ | $157 | −$26 −14% |
| Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?Ends in 19d | No | 183 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $156 | +$6 +3.9% |
| Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 31d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 490 | 49¢ → 32¢ | $154 | −$85 −36% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,424 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $153 | −$18 −10% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 9d | Yes | 511 | 42¢ → 30¢ | $151 | −$63 −30% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Ends in 44d | Yes | 558 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $142 | +$15 +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,190 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $132 | −$8 −5.6% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 345 | 33¢ → 38¢ | $131 | +$17 +15% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 530d | Yes | 1,490 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $130 | +$30 +30% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 59d | Yes | 890 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $129 | −$48 −27% |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 68d | No | 1,497 | 21¢ → 9¢ | $127 | −$180 −59% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?Ends in 21h | No | 388 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $126 | −$45 −26% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | Yes | 504 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $126 | +$6 +4.6% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Ends in 28d | Yes | 606 | 14¢ → 20¢ | $121 | +$36 +43% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 368 | 48¢ → 32¢ | $118 | −$60 −34% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Ends in 83d | Yes | 1,072 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $115 | −$48 −29% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 832 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $112 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 6,890 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $107 | −$392 −79% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 127 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $105 | +$11 +12% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | Yes | 258 | 25¢ → 40¢ | $102 | +$37 +58% |
| Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 527 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $100 | −$25 −20% |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,863 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $97 | −$81 −46% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 38d | Yes | 290 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $96 | −$2 −1.9% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | Yes | 155 | 33¢ → 61¢ | $94 | +$43 +86% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 884 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $93 | −$13 −13% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 125 | 48¢ → 73¢ | $91 | +$31 +52% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 617 | 40¢ → 14¢ | $89 | −$160 −64% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 2,370 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $89 | −$163 −65% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 278 | 28¢ → 32¢ | $89 | +$12 +15% |
| Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 31d | No | 360 | 49¢ → 25¢ | $88 | −$87 −50% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 219 | 28¢ → 40¢ | $87 | +$25 +41% |
| Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 108 | 68¢ → 77¢ | $83 | +$9 +13% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 73d | Yes | 532 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $83 | −$4 −4.7% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 6,340 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $73 | −$343 −82% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 579 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $72 | −$115 −61% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?Ends in 33d | Yes | 747 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $71 | −$6 −7.2% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,987 | 25¢ → 4¢ | $70 | −$419 −86% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $69 | −$6 −8.0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 594 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $68 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 443 | 12¢ → 15¢ | $66 | +$14 +28% |
| Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 101d | Yes | 274 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $66 | +$23 +52% |
| Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 621 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $65 | −$22 −25% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,184 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $65 | −$77 −54% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,706 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $61 | −$100 −62% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 574 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $60 | −$3 −4.5% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 102d | No | 122 | 35¢ → 50¢ | $60 | +$18 +41% |
| Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 334 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $58 | +$14 +33% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Ends in 24d | No | 112 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $57 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 51d | Yes | 520 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $57 | −$65 −53% |
