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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 11 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| December 9 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 10 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 12 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 13 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 14 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 15 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 16 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 17 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 18 or later | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d | esac | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,441 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | zxc368 | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,735 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | poorsob | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,552 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | CrazyBang2 fills | December 11 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,257 | −$42 −0.8% | — |
| 317d |  Zzz1337 | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,466 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | CrazyBang2 fills | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,471 | +$47 +0.7% | 20 |
| 317d |  Erka-RoadTo1M3 fills | December 11 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,390 | −$31 −0.3% | — |
| 317d | rwo | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  bamesjond2 fills | December 11 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,201 | −$55 −0.7% | — |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,694 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  mango-lassi | December 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,873 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  parfaitparfait | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,977 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d |  TheAugur4 fills | December 11 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,690 | +$156 +2.3% | 20 |
| 317d | AndreasSan | December 18 or later | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,657 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | forinnerpsandr1x112222 fills | December 11 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,267 | +$215 +4.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  MasonsConqueredRome | December 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,971 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 |
| 317d |  JJo2 fills | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,773 | +$124 +0.9% | 20 |
| 317d |  TealV | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$19 +1.4% | 20 |
| 317d |  scout | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$25 +1.2% | 20 |
| 317d |  Sivert | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,208 | +$70 +1.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  AllByMyseIf3 fills | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$53 +1.3% | 20 |
| 317d | AllByMyseIf | December 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,443 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | AllByMyseIf | December 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,041 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | AllByMyseIf | December 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,567 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  account154 | December 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,841 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 317d |  wish- | December 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,693 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  Chims | December 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  Wagner275738 | December 11 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | +$36 +2.3% | 20 |
| 317d |  ScottyNooo | December 11 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$49 +3.7% | 20 |
| 317d |  UwO | December 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,560 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | bamesjond5 fills | December 11 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,354 | +$245 +3.3% | 20 |
| 317d |  TeemuPukki | December 10 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | −$21 −1.6% | — |
| 317d | TeemuPukki | December 11 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,646 | −$231 −6.3% | — |
| 317d |  jesterthegoose | December 18 or later | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$63 +4.2% | 20 |
| 317d | cigarettes | December 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d | TheAugur | December 11 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,377 | −$86 −2.0% | — |
| 317d | Raptorr | December 11 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$35 +1.5% | 20 |
| 317d | Kevindoto | December 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,421 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | human-bean | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,107 | +$73 +1.4% | 20 |
| 317d | influenz.eth | December 13 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | influenz.eth | December 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  knrad | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 317d | FlyingPlaty | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,499 | +$231 +1.3% | 20 |
| 317d | haraya | December 11 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | +$30 +1.3% | 20 |
| 317d | jesterthegoose | December 11 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$53 +2.4% | 20 |
| 318d |  0xheavy888 | December 11 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$89 +5.7% | 20 |
| 318d | jaedung | December 10 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,466 | +$169 +3.1% | 20 |
| 318d |  0xdc3E831cad | December 10 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | +$104 +6.4% | 20 |
| 318d |  one8tyfive | December 10 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,650 | −$442 −5.1% | — |
| 318d | one8tyfive | December 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,868 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 318d | TeemuPukki | December 11 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,719 | +$301 +6.4% | 20 |
nikitasj941,809 sharesThis market will resolve according to the date ET on which the 2025 TIME Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. Other TIME webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 11 means the market gives it about 100%.