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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano Zucco | 100% | +5 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Juliana Brizola | 0% | −3 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcelo Maranata | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Souza | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Carlos Heinze | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | 0x6fa7…907e | Juliana Brizola | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 19d |  trulyalya1 | Luciano Zucco | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | −$32 −2.3% | — |
| 19d |  archaic | Juliana Brizola | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,371 | +$44 +1.0% | 10 |
| 20d | Cbs710 | Luciano Zucco | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$575 +11% | 13 |
| 20d | MissaoComFlavio4 fills | Luciano Zucco | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $10,796 | +$1,791 +17% | 11 |
| 20d | donthackme | Juliana Brizola | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$142 +12% | 12 |
| 21d | Watchful-Candy-Windshield | Luciano Zucco | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$218 +14% | 12 |
| 21d | e46m3 | Juliana Brizola | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$120 +11% | 12 |
| 21d |  gmgmgmgmg | Gabriel Souza | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$30 +2.5% | 10 |
| 21d | Teste4321 | Luciano Zucco | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$562 +15% | 12 |
| 28d | trulyalya1 | Luciano Zucco | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$421 +42% | 10 |
| 147d |  nicoco89 | Luciano Zucco | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$1,760 +142% | 10 |
| 147d | nicoco89 | Juliana Brizola | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | −$1,104 −100% | 10 |
| 147d | nicoco89 | Marcelo Maranata | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$270 +25% | 10 |
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Luciano Zucco means the market gives it about 100%.