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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! | 79% | +12 pts | +13 pts | 75¢ · 82¢ (7¢) | $1.52K | in 24h |
| European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš | 11% | −4 pts | −7 pts | 9¢ · 13¢ (4¢) | $1.13K | in 24h |
| Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor | 8% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 6¢ · 10¢ (4¢) | $1.31K | in 24h |
| Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović | 5% | −7 pts | −8 pts | 2¢ · 9¢ (7¢) | $1.08K | in 24h |
| Student List – Students Win | <1% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 24h |
| Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 24h |
| Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 24h |
| Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 24h |
| Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 24h |
| SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 24h |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
microwaveshepard1,155 shares
youtube-trader47 sharesParliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 79¢ for Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! means the market gives it about 79%.