| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 184 | 51¢ → 35¢ | $64 | −$29 −31% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 55 | 49¢ → 90¢ | $49 | +$22 +82% |
| Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 12d | No | 60 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $40 | −$6 −13% |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 96 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $33 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 38 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $28 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 6d | No | 80 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $27 | −$5 −17% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?Ends in 5d | No | 40 | 66¢ → 57¢ | $23 | −$3 −13% |
| Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 40 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $22 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 60 | 39¢ → 37¢ | $22 | −$2 −7.2% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $20 | +$2 +13% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?Ends in 2d | Yes | 58 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $19 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Ends in 6d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $16 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on October 24?Ends in 29m | No | 20 | 62¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$3 +20% |
| Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 83¢ → 74¢ | $15 | −$2 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 68¢ | $14 | −$3 −20% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $14 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$1 −9.3% |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | Yes | 70 | 34¢ → 19¢ | $13 | −$11 −44% |
| Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 5% to 7%?Ends in 5d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 32% to 36%?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 62¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 47¢ → 60¢ | $12 | +$3 +28% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 24?Ends in 29m | No | 20 | 66¢ → 57¢ | $12 | −$2 −13% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$1 −10% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?Ends in 9d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 55¢ | $11 | +$3 +40% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?Ends in 12d | Yes | 40 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $11 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 12 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $10 | +$2 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?Ends in 1d | No | 15 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $9 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $9 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 12 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $8 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 13 | 55¢ → 58¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 14 | 62¢ → 55¢ | $7 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 15 | 61¢ → 50¢ | $7 | −$2 −19% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 70 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 28 | 40¢ → 25¢ | $7 | −$4 −38% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 10 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 28¢ → 32¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 9 | 71¢ → 67¢ | $6 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 9 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 29¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 24?Ends in 29m | No | 14 | 53¢ → 41¢ | $6 | −$2 −24% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 9 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.2% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −29% |
| Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 31¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 45¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 6 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$1 −21% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 6.5% to 8%?Ends in 3d | No | 6 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 13 | 44¢ → 32¢ | $4 | −$2 −28% |
| Rain during the United States Grand Prix?Ends in 9d | Yes | 60 | 32¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$15 −78% |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 56¢ → 42¢ | $4 | −$1 −26% |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$1 −26% |
| Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 24?Ends in 29m | Yes | 30 | 28¢ → 13¢ | $4 | −$4 −53% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Ends in 3d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?Ends ended | No | 20 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 58¢ → 82¢ | $3 | +$1 +41% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 5 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 9d | No | 6 | 71¢ → 56¢ | $3 | −$1 −22% |
| GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 20 | 28¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$2 −43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 61¢ | $3 | −$1 −19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 24?Ends in 29m | Yes | 6 | 47¢ → 56¢ | $3 | +$0 +18% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $3 | −$0 −6.6% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 6 | 52¢ → 43¢ | $3 | −$1 −17% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 27¢ | $3 | −$2 −47% |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 9 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$0 −8.9% |
| Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 59¢ → 46¢ | $2 | −$1 −23% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?Ends in 2d | No | 3 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$1 +38% |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 9 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $2 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 0%-4%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 24?Ends in 29m | Yes | 8 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $2 | −$1 −20% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?Ends ended | No | 12 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $2 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 29m | No | 4 | 17¢ → 37¢ | $2 | +$1 +116% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Ends in 1d | No | 3 | 12¢ → 48¢ | $2 | +$1 +300% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?Ends in 29m | No | 18 | 61¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$10 −88% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 2 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$6 −83% |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 9d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.5% |
