| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,898 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $446 | +$9 +2.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 400 | 22¢ → 82¢ | $326 | +$238 +270% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 365 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $268 | −$16 −5.8% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 398 | 69¢ → 65¢ | $259 | −$16 −5.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 266 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $211 | +$12 +6.0% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 201 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $170 | −$3 −1.6% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $167 | −$7 −4.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 285 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $167 | −$19 −10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $155 | −$3 −1.9% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 172 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $119 | +$4 +3.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 180 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $103 | −$4 −3.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 125 | 62¢ → 78¢ | $97 | +$19 +25% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 360 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $95 | +$9 +10% |
| Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 105 | 73¢ → 89¢ | $93 | +$17 +22% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 125 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $93 | −$4 −3.8% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 136 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $86 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 125 | 30¢ → 68¢ | $85 | +$48 +127% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 99 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $83 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 165 | 39¢ → 50¢ | $83 | +$18 +28% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 106 | 33¢ → 68¢ | $71 | +$36 +105% |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 180 | 45¢ → 38¢ | $68 | −$14 −17% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 364 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $66 | −$21 −25% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 200 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $61 | −$5 −7.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | No | 70 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $58 | +$3 +5.1% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 135 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $58 | −$7 −10% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 266 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $55 | −$15 −21% |
| Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 155d | No | 68 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $54 | +$2 +3.9% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 38d | Yes | 112 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $50 | +$5 +11% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 49 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $49 | +$19 +66% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 47 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $46 | +$11 +30% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 91 | 49¢ → 51¢ | $46 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Ends in 281d | No | 60 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $46 | −$4 −7.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 91 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $45 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$8 +23% |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 48 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $43 | +$6 +17% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $43 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $43 | +$7 +20% |
| Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 80 | 17¢ → 53¢ | $42 | +$29 +212% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $42 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 47 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $41 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.6% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 150 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $40 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $39 | +$7 +23% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $37 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 80 | 41¢ → 45¢ | $36 | +$4 +11% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $35 | +$4 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 48 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $35 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 40 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $34 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$8 +28% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 200 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $33 | +$5 +18% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?Ends ended | No | 115 | 52¢ → 28¢ | $32 | −$28 −46% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 125 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $32 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $32 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 278 | 22¢ → 12¢ | $32 | −$29 −48% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 64¢ | $32 | +$8 +35% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 201 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 11d | No | 39 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Ends in 1d | No | 54 | 71¢ → 54¢ | $29 | −$9 −24% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $29 | +$2 +8.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 125 | 36¢ → 23¢ | $28 | −$17 −38% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 50 | 48¢ → 54¢ | $27 | +$3 +13% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 36 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $26 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 35 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $25 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | No | 35 | 49¢ → 70¢ | $24 | +$7 +42% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | No | 35 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Ends in 2d | No | 50 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $24 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | No | 29 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $24 | +$2 +9.5% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 56 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $24 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 195 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $23 | −$12 −33% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $23 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $23 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 56 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $23 | −$4 −16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $22 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 56 | 53¢ → 38¢ | $21 | −$8 −28% |
| Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 30 | 48¢ → 71¢ | $21 | +$7 +47% |
| Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 60 | 49¢ → 35¢ | $21 | −$8 −29% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.4% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 65 | 65¢ → 32¢ | $21 | −$22 −51% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 38 | 46¢ → 54¢ | $20 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$9 +88% |
| Will Ambient launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 30 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?Ends in 158d | No | 25 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $19 | +$2 +12% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $18 | −$6 −24% |
| Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | No | 50 | 39¢ → 36¢ | $18 | −$2 −7.7% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 38 | 54¢ → 47¢ | $18 | −$3 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$3 +17% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$4 +30% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 19 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$2 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 99 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $16 | −$3 −18% |
| Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 49¢ → 32¢ | $16 | −$9 −35% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 45 | 25¢ → 35¢ | $16 | +$5 +43% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 40¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$8 +96% |
