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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcísio de Freitas | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fernando Haddad | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Márcio França | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erika Hilton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Kim Kataguiri | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 16 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 17 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 18 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 20 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | FlyingPlaty | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,560 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 19d |  Cupzey | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,491 | +$27 +0.2% | 10 |
| 21d | Watchful-Candy-Windshield | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes>99¢ | $1,488 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 23d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,731 | +$85 +1.5% | 10 |
| 28d | OlavoVive | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 42d | vinecriptoverso | Kim Kataguiri | SellNo>99¢ | $1,561 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 66d | Votei14Voude22 | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | −$83 −3.9% | — |
| 68d | Votei14Voude22 | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$125 +5.3% | 10 |
| 82d |  knrad | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$139 +6.4% | 10 |
| 89d | Musk5 | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | −$127 −7.5% | — |
| 93d |  archaic | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$85 +7.5% | 10 |
| 105d | LulaVaiPerder5 fills | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $11,537 | −$1,087 −9.4% | — |
| 107d | MissaoComFlavio2 fills | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,828 | −$406 −8.4% | — |
| 108d | stupid22 | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,119 | +$686 +7.5% | 10 |
| 109d | LulaVaiPerder3 fills | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$828 +7.5% | 10 |
| 110d | Grandioso | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$94 +7.5% | 10 |
| 114d | MissaoComFlavio | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,815 | +$419 +8.7% | 10 |
| 125d | Natsan | Kim Kataguiri | SellNo>99¢ | $1,108 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 131d | Watchful-Candy-Windshield | Tarcísio de Freitas | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$204 +18% | 12 |
| 155d | 0x4b0e…0677 | Fernando Haddad | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,351 | −$446 −10% | — |
| 155d | 0x4b0e…0677 | Fernando Haddad | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,351 | +$446 +10% | 10 |
| 163d | pastel7035 | Tarcísio de Freitas | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$245 −23% | — |
enfermeirorodney6 shares
Dr.PNL277 sharesThe São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tarcísio de Freitas means the market gives it about 100%.