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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | +2 pts | +4 pts | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | plumbis | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 87¢ | $2,176 | +$62 +2.8% | — |
| 115d | K1ngN0rth | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BuyYes76¢ → 14¢ | $1,331 | −$1,094 −82% | 36 |
| 115d |  WarriorPooh | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BuyYes76¢ → 14¢ | $2,021 | −$1,664 −82% | 36 |
cambridgeisaac1,011 shares
elmcap21,866 shares
Milton..Friedman1,083 shares
Optimus-775 shares
LornaPredicts583 shares
KimJonEn230 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 14¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 14%.