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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 543d | BlindGibbon4 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,988 | −$237 −1.0% | — |
| 543d | Trump2028 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,381 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 544d |  elmcap22 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo>99¢ | $57,972 | +$234 +0.4% | 4 |
| 547d |  debased4 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,819 | −$205 −3.0% | — |
| 548d | Gdub4 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,653 | +$214 +1.2% | 4 |
| 550d | Retired-Davis | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$22 +0.7% | 4 |
| 551d | spididididick | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 553d | xA73582F6c6B942BDE38149e43A215194485Db423 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | −$34 −1.2% | — |
| 554d | peepeepooppoop | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 |
| 554d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | −$61 −2.7% | — |
| 557d |  Dankwizart420 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,026 | −$27 −0.9% | — |
| 558d | LBZone | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,462 | +$39 +0.7% | 4 |
| 561d | Dar1us | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,162 | −$38 −0.9% | — |
| 563d | lowrisk24 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 566d | YasH | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 568d | Trump2028 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,928 | +$161 +0.8% | 4 |
| 569d |  twainilove | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 570d | GoupilTheFox | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,157 | −$35 −1.1% | — |
| 573d |  RecursiveDragon | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,122 | −$113 −1.1% | — |
| 573d |  ScamWick2 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$44 +1.0% | 4 |
| 584d | spididididick | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
| 588d | Nowhere-Man | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | +$37 +2.4% | 4 |
| 590d |  WatchTheTape | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$31 −2.7% | — |
| 591d |  -nothingburger- | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | −$44 −2.7% | — |
| 591d |  Justitia3 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,844 | −$260 −2.6% | — |
| 592d |  MotherTheresa | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$24 +2.1% | 4 |
| 592d |  LucyCross5 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $20,071 | +$1,090 +5.4% | 4 |
| 592d | polyproguy | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$32 +2.8% | 4 |
| 593d |  TradeDeficitArchitect2 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,921 | +$230 +3.9% | 4 |
| 595d | -nothingburger- | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$39 +2.6% | 4 |
| 597d | xiaomisuv | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$56 −2.9% | — |
| 597d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | −$55 −3.0% | — |
| 599d |  LinaBell | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | −$54 −2.7% | — |
| 600d | fkuUMA | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,506 | +$102 +2.3% | 4 |
| 600d | SammySledge | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,181 | +$526 +2.4% | 4 |
| 601d | lowrisk24 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,147 | +$62 +2.9% | 4 |
| 602d | derekac | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$39 −3.5% | — |
| 606d |  LARPER-9352 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,476 | −$204 −4.6% | — |
| 606d | Bruce09134 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,537 | +$248 +4.5% | 4 |
| 608d |  d1k21 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,810 | −$190 −4.0% | — |
| 608d | LARPER-935 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$65 +3.8% | 4 |
| 609d | Dankwizart420 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,075 | +$119 +3.9% | 4 |
| 610d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,948 | −$512 −4.7% | — |
| 611d |  MEPP | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,398 | −$268 −4.2% | — |
| 613d | Lone-Hydrocarbon | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$48 −4.1% | — |
| 616d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,064 | −$249 −4.9% | — |
| 616d | Weepy-Lode | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$36 +3.4% | 5 |
| 617d | HD8 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,048 | −$169 −4.2% | — |
| 618d |  Slowroasted | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$47 +3.2% | 4 |
| 619d | diminish | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $29,351 | −$1,022 −3.5% | — |
| 621d | RecursiveDragon | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$234 +2.3% | 4 |
| 623d |  MMousse5 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,837 | −$574 −5.3% | — |
| 628d | peet-752 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$54 −4.4% | — |
| 629d |  kfkfkkfjicsjfie2 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,054 | +$252 +4.2% | 4 |
| 629d | BlindGibbon2 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $44,000 | +$2,317 +5.3% | 4 |
| 630d | HD8 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,047 | +$171 +4.2% | 4 |
| 632d | Scottisommers3 fills | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,713 | +$232 +4.1% | 4 |
| 633d | 8396239287 | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,775 | −$125 −4.5% | — |
| 634d | debased | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$82 +5.3% | 4 |
| 635d |  silkroad | Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | −$86 −4.9% | — |
aliensarereal20,043 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists between January 20, 2025, and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.