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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Trump declares another national emergency by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,962 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 302d |  AGPamBondi | Trump declares another national emergency by December 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,885 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 304d |  VegemiteLover | Trump declares another national emergency by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$31 +1.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) between October 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
