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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 663d | Saam47 | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,227 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 670d |  50Whence2 fills | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | −$90 −2.9% | — |
| 708d | BANGBANG-8122 fills | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | +$120 +4.7% | 4 |
| 709d | Suburban-Cleric | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$126 +3.2% | 4 |
| 709d | SomeOne45 | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$157 −12% | — |
| 710d | KennyM3 fills | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$456 +7.0% | 4 |
| 710d | KennyM | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$224 −22% | — |
| 710d |  ImJustKen | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,617 | +$848 +23% | 4 |
| 712d | SomeOne45 | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$383 +36% | 4 |
| 716d | Gdub | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$152 +7.9% | 4 |
| 717d | Saam47 | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$250 +12% | 4 |
| 719d |  Gex-518 | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$202 −15% | — |
| 726d | victorrobertotrader | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$120 −10% | — |
| 728d | cashy | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | −$204 −12% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo. A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.