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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | −5 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 9 | 100% | +63 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 26 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 16 | 100% | +38 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31 | 100% | +32 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 23 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290d | Dutiful-Bookmark | January 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,187 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 290d |  Webet8883 fills | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,430 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d |  zwxokx | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,395 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,100 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d |  Ahpo | January 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | Ahpo | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,171 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | SweetChariot | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,934 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d | roflingbets2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,021 | +$54 +0.8% | 4 |
| 290d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | January 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,463 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d |  UwO | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,778 | +$139 +0.3% | 4 |
| 290d | chileno777 | January 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 290d | rumblestilks | January 16 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,188 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 290d | rumblestilks | January 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | −$18 −0.7% | — |
| 290d | ScottyNooo2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,287 | +$212 +0.5% | 4 |
| 290d | ScottyNooo | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d | IlIIllIIIllIIl2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,732 | +$1,360 +36% | 8 |
| 290d |  TylerTurden | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,309 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 |
| 290d | Monopoly_Money2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,164 | +$29 +1.3% | 4 |
| 290d |  Bperil | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$12 +0.7% | 4 |
| 290d | HouseMoney13 | January 9 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,975 | −$111 −2.8% | — |
| 290d |  Alexparker | January 16 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 290d | Alexparker | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,673 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d | Alexparker | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 290d | TacticalInsiderNews | January 9 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,696 | −$98 −3.6% | — |
| 290d |  Chims | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 290d | Shocked-Prospect | January 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,044 | +$62 +2.0% | 5 |
| 290d |  CertifiedCRY | January 9 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,411 | +$119 +3.5% | 5 |
| 290d | Thanks4TheMoney | January 9 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$360 +19% | 7 |
| 290d |  TheAugur | January 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$239 +18% | 4 |
| 290d | Qwe492xs | January 9 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$903 +60% | 9 |
| 290d |  Car | January 9 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | −$1,105 −100% | 9 |
| 291d | PassiveStrike | January 9 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$447 +40% | 6 |
| 294d | CameronMoore | January 9 | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$2,198 +220% | 6 |
| 294d | jayknor | January 9 | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,072 | +$1,072 +100% | — |
| 296d |  cxntmakeup | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | StudentMoney | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,630 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  SakuraDevil | December 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,512 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 298d | Zeineb | December 31 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | −$225 −11% | — |
| 299d | sanalid | December 31 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | −$295 −17% | — |
| 299d | QuantChad | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$720 +10% | 6 |
| 301d | Zeineb | December 31 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$782 +52% | 6 |
| 301d |  FTX2.0 | December 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$714 +55% | 6 |
| 301d |  ZhangMuZhi- | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,588 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | hgoni | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,055 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | ytrdgsssf | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,213 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | qvdbfh | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,136 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 301d | trdffxgrer | December 26 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 301d | tyfghjkgh | December 26 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$33 +2.7% | 4 |
| 301d | MrFatal | December 31 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$711 +71% | 6 |
| 301d | wagywan | December 26 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,928 | +$89 +2.3% | 4 |
| 302d | QuantChad | December 26 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$315 +4.5% | 4 |
| 302d |  Oompa-Loompa | December 26 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$278 +14% | 5 |
| 302d | Lanky-Councilor | December 26 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,971 | −$1,971 −100% | 6 |
| 303d | sonibets | December 26 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$144 +14% | 5 |
| 304d |  .jeet | December 26 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | −$421 −30% | — |
| 304d | .jeet | December 26 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$423 +30% | 6 |
| 304d | UwO | December 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,015 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 304d | turak | December 31 | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$605 −43% | — |
| 306d | diadjaid | December 31 | SellYes85¢ → 0¢ | $2,538 | +$2,538 +100% | — |
| 307d |  suraxy | December 31 | SellYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,496 | +$1,496 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize another ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.