| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 181 | 44¢ → 18¢ | $32 | −$47 −60% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 20¢ | $10 | −$20 −68% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 353 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 122 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 36 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Yemen by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 116 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 226 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,095 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Congress" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 164 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,089 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 834 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$582 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 54 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 126 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 41 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 151 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 69 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 29 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 621 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 34 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
