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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3,200+ | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$2,500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,500-$2,600 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,600-$2,700 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,700-$2,800 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,800-$2,900 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,900-$3,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,000-$3,100 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,100-$3,200 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 297d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $3,200+ | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 299d |  VdeVolsa | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,403 | +$37 +0.2% | 4 |
| 299d |  olegs | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,526 | +$66 +0.4% | 4 |
| 299d | dwFqcd4Z2 fills | $3,200+ | SellYes>99¢ | $31,442 | −$135 −0.4% | — |
| 299d | GondorCallsForAid5 fills | $3,200+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,369 | −$131 −1.0% | — |
| 299d | ForFamily | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,351 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 299d |  takemymoney | $3,100-$3,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,634 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | amis2 fills | $3,200+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,842 | −$64 −0.9% | — |
| 302d | KM888 | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,003 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 302d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,390 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 302d | KimsCrunchCut | $3,200+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,086 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 303d | b3tm0re | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 304d |  burnny | $3,200+ | SellYes>99¢ | $5,150 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 304d |  PixOnChain | $3,200+ | SellYes>99¢ | $4,438 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 304d | allen1143 fills | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $50,930 | +$68 +0.1% | 4 |
| 305d | rated6 fills | $2,800-$2,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,385 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 306d | rated7 fills | $2,600-$2,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,937 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d | rated13 fills | $2,500-$2,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,386 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d | gandoper | <$2,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 310d | rated7 fills | $3,000-$3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,766 | +$31 +0.4% | 4 |
| 310d | rated9 fills | $2,900-$3,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,381 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 310d | jczg123 | $3,200+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 311d | Edjames | $3,000-$3,100 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | Edjames | $2,900-$3,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,898 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | jczg123 | $3,200+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,282 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 312d |  uncleroger2 fills | $3,200+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,272 | +$218 +2.6% | 4 |
| 312d | rated6 fills | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,385 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | rated3 fills | $3,100-$3,200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | +$35 +1.1% | 4 |
| 312d | erdsfg5rrjg | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 312d | jtdsfghrthr | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 312d | jydsft | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 312d | erfgvtbhjm | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 312d | fgbhjmn | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 312d | vgfbrtbhnn | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 312d |  tmdi | $2,900-$3,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,098 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 313d | 2354687 | $2,900-$3,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,231 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | ervtbyhujv | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 313d | tbgrvfecd | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 313d | tybythjn | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,330 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 313d | tmdi | $2,900-$3,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | huyilk | $3,000-$3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | Edjames | $3,000-$3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | buildpad | $3,000-$3,100 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 314d | buildpad | $3,000-$3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 315d | cigarettes2 fills | <$2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,445 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 315d | cigarettes2 fills | $3,000-$3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,443 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 315d | allen1112 fills | $3,200+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,859 | +$505 +2.2% | 4 |
| 315d | cigarettes3 fills | $3,100-$3,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,936 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 315d | cigarettes3 fills | $2,900-$3,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,943 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 315d | GondorCallsForAid4 fills | $3,200+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,850 | +$181 +1.7% | 4 |
| 316d | Edjames | $2,900-$3,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,900 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 316d | Jmn | $3,200+ | BuyYes100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 318d | Edjames | $2,800-$2,900 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,000 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | PixOnChain | $3,200+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 320d | 67676767 | $2,800-$2,900 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,988 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 320d | 67676767 | $2,800-$2,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | bulushi | $2,700-$2,800 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,144 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 320d | fxhfgsx | $3,100-$3,200 | SellNo100¢ | $1,273 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 320d | bulushi | $2,700-$2,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,145 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | fxhfgsx | $3,100-$3,200 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,278 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
TimeTraveler71,414 sharesThis is a market group over gold prices at the end of 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $3,200+ means the market gives it about 100%.
