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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fake News | 100% | +11 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran 3+ times | 100% | +65 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shots fired / Shots will be fired | 0% | −21 pts | −25 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Melania | 100% | +49 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drone | 100% | +37 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 0% | −17 pts | −27 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Movie Star | 0% | −19 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump | 0% | −48 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 5+ times | 100% | +56 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Central Casting | 0% | −28 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 5+ times | 100% | +75 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sleepy | 0% | −53 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 0% | −23 pts | −34 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Butler | 0% | −32 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tough Cookie | 0% | −20 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Nasty | 100% | +53 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | 0% | −29 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | KawaiKGIRL | Iran 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,654 | −$47 −1.0% | — |
| 91d |  BlondBeast | Iran 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 91d |  macrosteaks | Fake News | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$32 +3.1% | 20 |
| 91d |  Dragontree | Hell 5+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 91d |  Ratspootin | Drone | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 91d | Dragontree2 fills | Shots fired / Shots will be fired | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,237 | +$656 +13% | 24 |
| 91d |  LadyLuck2 | Fake News | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$117 +10% | 20 |
| 91d | yuhyuhyuhy3523524 fills | Melania | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $5,727 | +$7,158 +125% | 30 |
| 91d | LadyLuck2 | Shots fired / Shots will be fired | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$285 −23% | — |
| 91d | LadyLuck2 | Shots fired / Shots will be fired | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,014 | +$476 +24% | 26 |
wagmiser800 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fake News means the market gives it about 100%.