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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Lamar | 21% | +2 pts | −3 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Taylor Swift | 27% | — | +2 pts | 26¢ · 28¢ (2¢) | — | in 70d |
| Bad Bunny | 20% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 19¢ · 21¢ (2¢) | — | in 70d |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 13% | — | −3 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | — | in 70d |
| Beyoncé | 1% | — | −3 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Lana Del Rey | 30% | −5 pts | −3 pts | 29¢ · 31¢ (2¢) | $268 | in 70d |
| Billie Eilish | 4% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 70d |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 38% | +5 pts | −16 pts | 37¢ · 39¢ (2¢) | $100 | in 69d |
| Peso Pluma | 23% | −3 pts | −10 pts | 21¢ · 24¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Justin Bieber | 17% | −4 pts | −7 pts | 15¢ · 18¢ (3¢) | $59.1 | in 69d |
| The Weekend | 27% | — | +3 pts | 26¢ · 27¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Rihanna | 18% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | $29 | in 70d |
| Jay Z | 20% | +5 pts | −6 pts | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | $22 | in 69d |
| Playboi Carti | 22% | — | −7 pts | 21¢ · 23¢ (2¢) | $17 | in 70d |
| Eminem | 12% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | $9.99 | in 70d |
| Frank Ocean | 13% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 10¢ · 15¢ (5¢) | $8 | in 70d |
| Travis Scott | 22% | +1 pts | −13 pts | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | $7.18 | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d |  KimchiCapital | Taylor Swift | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $1,263 | +$31 +2.4% | 20 |
| 16d |  Optimus- | Sabrina Carpenter | BuyNo79¢ → 87¢ | $1,110 | +$116 +10% | 20 |
| 42d | everymarket | Lil Uzi Vert | BuyYes90¢ → 38¢ | $1,116 | −$645 −58% | 27 |
| 134d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,941 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 161d | SweetChariot | Will Drake release an album in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,164 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | SweetChariot2 fills | Will Drake release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,768 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 210d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Kanye West release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,745 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 210d | KimchiCapital | Will Kanye West release an album in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$9 +0.8% | 20 |
| 219d | SweetChariot | Will Luke Combs release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,819 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 232d | SweetChariot2 fills | Will Nettspend release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,145 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 281d | ForFamily | Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,419 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 288d | ArbitrageTaker | Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,804 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 302d |  PeachandLove | Rihanna | SellYes31¢ → 18¢ | $1,330 | +$558 +42% | — |
| 302d | PeachandLove | Rihanna | BuyYes62¢ → 18¢ | $2,660 | −$1,888 −71% | 40 |
| 302d |  ShaolinCrypto | Frank Ocean | SellNo64¢ → 88¢ | $1,221 | −$448 −37% | — |
| 302d | ShaolinCrypto | Frank Ocean | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $1,717 | −$48 −2.8% | 27 |
| 302d |  DigTheBtc | Will Nettspend release an album in 2026? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,114 | −$2,114 −100% | 20 |
| 303d | SweetChariot | Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 303d |  LaLigaKing | Kendrick Lamar | BuyNo94¢ → 80¢ | $2,569 | −$396 −15% | 20 |
AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe618 shares
macrosteaks260 shares
Dr.PNL214 shares
Haradwaith94 shares
ooops450 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 21¢ for Kendrick Lamar means the market gives it about 21%.