| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,750 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $2,544 | +$778 +44% |
| Will Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,456 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2,352 | +$257 +12% |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,631 | 63¢ → 95¢ | $1,554 | +$534 +52% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,057 | 79¢ → 71¢ | $1,450 | −$167 −10% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,518 | 61¢ → 93¢ | $1,412 | +$493 +54% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,020 | 50¢ → 65¢ | $1,303 | +$284 +28% |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,773 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $1,294 | +$31 +2.4% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Ends in 281d | No | 1,433 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $1,168 | +$18 +1.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,873 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $1,133 | −$73 −6.1% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,258 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $1,088 | +$89 +8.9% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 1,033 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1,032 | +$43 +4.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,000 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $1,000 | +$131 +15% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,000 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $953 | +$66 +7.5% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Mbappé | 1,300 | 61¢ → 73¢ | $943 | +$151 +19% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 931 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $908 | +$98 +12% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 973 | 41¢ → 85¢ | $822 | +$423 +106% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 883 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $822 | +$277 +51% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,650 | 33¢ → 44¢ | $725 | +$180 +33% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $675 | +$67 +11% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 764 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $638 | +$34 +5.7% |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 14d | Yes | 736 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $618 | +$55 +9.9% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | Talarico | 640 | 69¢ → 97¢ | $618 | +$178 +41% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 605 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $595 | +$68 +13% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,650 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $561 | +$16 +3.0% |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 893 | 48¢ → 62¢ | $553 | +$121 +28% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?Ends in 281d | No | 548 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $470 | +$12 +2.7% |
| Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?Ends in 100d | Yes | 577 | 65¢ → 80¢ | $458 | +$86 +23% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 434d | No | 533 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $442 | +$26 +6.2% |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 611 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $425 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?Ends in 11d | South Dakota | 513 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $421 | +$10 +2.5% |
| Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 417 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $409 | +$30 +8.0% |
| Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 452 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $395 | +$27 +7.3% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 595 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $393 | −$41 −9.4% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Ends in 434d | No | 399 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $389 | +$30 +8.4% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 1,008 | 22¢ → 39¢ | $388 | +$171 +79% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Ends in 28d | Yes | 883 | 46¢ → 44¢ | $384 | −$26 −6.3% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 434d | Yes | 418 | 41¢ → 90¢ | $376 | +$204 +118% |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | El-Sayed | 403 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $375 | +$30 +8.7% |
| Will Republicans win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 14d | No | 362 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $353 | +$75 +27% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 490 | 58¢ → 69¢ | $336 | +$53 +19% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 400 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $324 | +$46 +17% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 610 | 60¢ → 53¢ | $320 | −$45 −12% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 443 | 59¢ → 71¢ | $314 | +$51 +20% |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 308 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $304 | +$61 +25% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 538 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $301 | −$9 −2.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 319 | 48¢ → 87¢ | $276 | +$122 +79% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 284 | 67¢ → 97¢ | $274 | +$83 +44% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 340 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $262 | +$29 +12% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 260 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $259 | +$20 +8.6% |
| Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?Ends in 11d | No | 259 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $253 | +$38 +18% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Ends in 281d | No | 320 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $250 | +$21 +9.4% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 390 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $246 | +$31 +14% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 282 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $239 | +$39 +20% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 237 | 0¢ → 99¢ | $235 | +$235 +0.0% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 275 | 37¢ → 85¢ | $233 | +$131 +128% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 300 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $228 | +$23 +11% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 356 | 85¢ → 64¢ | $227 | −$74 −25% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 317 | 57¢ → 72¢ | $227 | +$46 +25% |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 241 | 14¢ → 91¢ | $218 | +$185 +565% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 219 | 56¢ → 99¢ | $217 | +$94 +77% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 466 | 68¢ → 46¢ | $214 | −$104 −33% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Ends in 33d | Yes | 310 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $209 | +$35 +20% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 220 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $207 | +$66 +47% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | Yes | 303 | 39¢ → 68¢ | $206 | +$88 +75% |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 209 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $204 | +$34 +20% |
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 262 | 61¢ → 78¢ | $203 | +$42 +26% |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 362 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $203 | +$12 +6.2% |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,285 | 56¢ → 16¢ | $199 | −$525 −72% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 222 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $198 | +$20 +11% |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 247 | 41¢ → 73¢ | $179 | +$77 +75% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$11 +6.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?Ends in 7d | No | 176 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $169 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | Yes | 563 | 40¢ → 30¢ | $166 | −$62 −27% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 571 | 24¢ → 29¢ | $166 | +$31 +23% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 189 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $161 | +$11 +7.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 200 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $159 | +$19 +14% |
| Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 192 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $154 | −$2 −1.6% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 160 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $153 | +$31 +25% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 210 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $150 | +$26 +21% |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 154 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $149 | +$34 +29% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 246 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $148 | +$3 +2.3% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 183 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $145 | +$10 +7.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 146 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $144 | +$29 +25% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 68¢ | $137 | +$136 +12369% |
| Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?Ends in 5d | Yes | 877 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $127 | −$113 −47% |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 190 | 45¢ → 63¢ | $119 | +$33 +38% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 165 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $118 | +$3 +2.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 328 | 82¢ → 35¢ | $114 | −$154 −57% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 227 | 29¢ → 49¢ | $110 | +$44 +68% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 4d | No | 111 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $108 | +$13 +14% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 122 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $107 | +$14 +15% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 29¢ → 76¢ | $106 | +$66 +162% |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Ends in 11d | Yes | 401 | 14¢ → 26¢ | $106 | +$48 +84% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 28¢ → 74¢ | $104 | +$65 +167% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 439 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $103 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 120 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $98 | +$3 +3.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 90 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $89 | +$6 +7.9% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 99 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $84 | +$11 +15% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 337 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $83 | −$26 −24% |
| Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 122 | 48¢ → 67¢ | $82 | +$23 +39% |
